Brexit

BTCH-Death by May

For over a decade, I have been highlighting that with the Super Western Empire in the final phase of decline, that it would manifest leadership that would be consistently poor. Characterized by being focused on poor judgemnet , lack of vision and essentially serving themselves rather than the people they claimed to lead. Sadly this has proven true in every nation in the west almost without exception and is personified by the premiership of May.

Brexit and its Parallels with The English Civil war

Murrinations seek to provide relevant and prophetic predictions of Geopolitical events, based on the application of The Code of History.

Brexit Options

Since 2016 we have predicted that Brexit would result in a no deal outcome.  The negotiations were best modelled as an acrimonious separation with the worst possible outcome.  However this model assumed that the Government and Parliament played by the rules. May and the EU have disregarded the rules by unilaterally delaying Brexit  (I would expect a legal challenge to this action and an argument that we are still leaving on the 29th to be raised in Parliament).

Brexit: The Winds of Political Change Are Growing

BTCH has long argued that the Brexit debate represents the energy of a civil war of regionalization acted out for the first time in mankind's history, peacefully through a democratic process. An enormous leap forward in humans affairs. However, core to that process is a Darwinistic mechanism, to remove the old weak leadership and replace it with a more effective leadership that can both heal the great rift and present a vision that can be implemented for the nation to move forward after the end of the conflict.
 

Brexit Part 2: On the way to a "No Deal"

If we compare today's Brexit with our two past examples of the English civil war and Henry VIIIs reformation we find an anomaly in the new British cycle. At the bottom of the British national cycle post-1970 there was a continuity of governance unseen in past cycles due to the framework of the super western Christian empire. Whilst continuity accelerated Britain's recovery time considerably, its' downside was that the legacy leadership structures of the nation remained in place, rather than evolving through a period of chaos which would have allowed new leadership to rise to the fore.

Brexit Part 1: Historical Perspectives

The British parliament is now approaching a historic moment. It is about to vote on May’s Chequers plan for Brexit.

It therefore seems an appropriate time to review the ‘Five Stages of Empire Principals’ to better understand the social forces at work in British society and the likely outcomes ahead.

Brexit Part XXIX: Boris for PM and the inevitable sinking of the EU

As we have often described in the context of Breaking the Code of History, Prime Minister May falls into the model of a dictator post a regional civil war, employing the energy of force and coercion to keep both previously warring factions together for the sake of the nation’s future. However, May does not have the force or energy to pull this role off. Indeed, she could be described as the accidental dictator, whose delusional self-image got the better of everyone else’s judgement.

Brexit Part XXVIII: May's wobble

The closure of the difference between the polls of the Conservatives and Labour has caused great consternation to those who thought it would be a landslide victory. However, the reason is very simple. May has tried to follow the path of Blair and Cameron in occupying the centre ground when the vast majority of the electorate requires a move to the right with the associated wealth creation policies.

Brexit Part XXVII: May calling a general election

Prime Minister May’s call for an election should not have taken anyone by surprise. The surprise was that she had not announced it sooner. The Conservatives were not elected with May as their leader and she did not want to make the same mistake as Gordon Brown who was never endorsed by the people and served out an ignominious short term as PM. Following such a divisive referendum, May and the Conservatives need a resounding mandate to push through the Brexit negotiations using the risk of a no-deal outcome as the ultimate bargaining chip.

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