In the initial regionalisation phase of an empire collective self-definition (i.e. social values) is relatively low, a situation that Britain is currently facing with…
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Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events
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Geopolitical Forecasts
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Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 16/09/2014 - 08:52
Last Update: Wed, 17/09/2014 - 12:15
The demographic trends in the UK and Europe support the 5 stages of empire projections discussed in Part I with a shrinking German population and marginal growth in…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 15/09/2014 - 09:44
Last Update: Mon, 15/09/2014 - 09:50
The impending vote by Scotland to secede from the union, coupled with the threat from radicalised terrorists returning from the Middle East, raises critical questions …
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 12/09/2014 - 10:37
Last Update: Mon, 15/09/2014 - 14:53
A regular topic in my blogs is the rise of China, a process that I have suggested that, like all other powers in a similar position on the empire cycle, is far from…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 04/09/2014 - 09:38
During August the Chinese have again in the fourth such incident this year aggressively intercepted a US intelligence gathering plane. The intercept itself is not the…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 03/09/2014 - 08:56
Last Update: Wed, 03/09/2014 - 09:34
The challenge of the next decade is all too clear to a Student of History. On the one side are the groups or nations with expansive demographics such as the various…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 02/09/2014 - 09:15
Last Update: Tue, 02/09/2014 - 10:51
It can be argued that humanity’s wars have up until the 19th century served to strengthen the leadership gene pool by favouring the strong over the weak. However, all…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 01/09/2014 - 11:12
Last Update: Mon, 01/09/2014 - 13:07
Today, it's difficult to argue, with the wars in Ukraine, Syria, Iraq and Lebanon, that we are any closer to transcending the need for wars than were our ancestors.…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 26/06/2014 - 11:38
Last Update: Thu, 26/06/2014 - 14:45
The Middle East has once more grabbed our attention with the striking success of the ISIS (Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant) who seek the establishment of a new…
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