Global Forecaster

Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events

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“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”

Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.

Murrination Insights

Geopolitical Forecasts

Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.

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Last Update: Tue, 06/04/2021 - 15:37

The much anticipated Strategic Review contains a fundamental flaw that runs through the review;

3.1 Denial 1; The Failure To Recognise The Imminent  Chinese…

Last Update: Mon, 30/03/2026 - 00:55
Introduction

The UK’s Integrated Defence Review is assessed as a pivotal but flawed attempt to redefine national security strategy in a rapidly evolving geopolitical environment. The wake up…

Last Update: Wed, 31/03/2021 - 15:10

In our Global Forecaster Now or Never report summary, we used historical analogies to demonstrate the danger that Britain is now in, as it faces an expansive and…

Last Update: Tue, 09/01/2024 - 19:27

The blockage of the Suez Canal by the 224,000 tonne (gross tonnage) Evergreen-operated container ship Ever Given, should be a major wake-up call as to the importance of…

Last Update: Sat, 27/03/2021 - 15:56

This book follows our Now Or Never Global Forecaster Review that was published in October 2020 and sent to the UK Treasury, The Ministry of Defence, and 10 Downing…

Last Update: Mon, 06/04/2026 - 19:57
Introduction

In our previous Murrination we examined the collapse of the Doomsday Bubble, which has been created by the excess levels of debt. In this Murrination we look at how the accumulation…

The Bubble of All Things (or Doomsday Bubble) when it collapses, will have implications way beyond a 1929 style collapse, as it will significantly weaken America and the…

Last Update: Sun, 21/03/2021 - 17:19

Global forecaster makes predictions that have a high track record of success, but when we get it wrong we like to admit it, so we can learn from those mistakes. So here…

Last Update: Sat, 01/01/2022 - 11:11

Seeking effective guidelines for a new integrated China containment policy, we have used the lessons of the past to create eight key tenants for a UK strategy focused on…

Last Update: Mon, 06/04/2026 - 20:01

2.1 The All Out Arms Race

Many people have been taught that WW1 erupted by accident in 1914 through miscalculation. However, my work has revealed that nothing could be further from the…

Last Update: Mon, 06/04/2026 - 20:10
Introduction

A systemic rivalry is emerging between China’s CCP-led autocratic model and Western democratic systems, reflecting a long-standing historical pattern in which rising powers challenge…

Last Update: Tue, 28/04/2026 - 14:20
Introduction

Extreme speculative bubbles follow repeatable behavioural patterns, where asset prices detach from underlying value, expand through mass participation and financial innovation, and…

Last Update: Fri, 16/02/2024 - 06:56

Team Boris did a fabulous job of completing the Brexit process against all the odds and created as smooth a transition as possible into the new Global Britain. During the negotiations, the one…

Last Update: Tue, 28/04/2026 - 14:27
Introduction

Speculative bubbles in new asset classes follow consistent psychological and structural patterns, where rapid price appreciation driven by belief and momentum ultimately gives way to…

Last Update: Mon, 22/03/2021 - 14:14

There is now no doubt that over the past months the market has been in the grip of a Bubble of all Things. Where money that was printed on a scale never seen before has …

The above image is the Fall of Constantinople (May 29, 1453)

The dwindling Byzantine Empire came to an end when the Ottomans breached Constantinople's ancient…

Following a recent presentation, I thought you might be interested in some of Global Forecasters Predictions and services.You can find the audio here and the associated …

Last Update: Wed, 29/04/2026 - 11:54
Introduction

Systemic failures exposed by the pandemic have revealed structural weaknesses in the UK healthcare system, creating the conditions for large-scale reform driven by efficiency,…