The cost of modern warships such as the Type 26, Type 45 and Arleigh Burke-class has considerably increased per unit over the decades. This has resulted in a reduction in the number of units…
Global Forecaster
Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events
“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”
Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.
Murrination Insights
Geopolitical Forecasts
Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.
1.0 Time for a New Dreadnought-Type Innovation in Warship Design
In a time when battleships usually took several years to build, the construction and launch in…
Since December 2020 we have been warning that tensions around Taiwan are reaching critical levels. This has been primarily driven by Xi’s agenda of expansion, recently…
In the following Murrination we seek to better understand the Duke of Edinburgh's remarkable life, highlighting the Iconic Leadership he embodied within the context of Britain’s…
The UK’s pandemic response is framed as a case of policy distortion driven by fear-based communication, with implications for democratic accountability and strategic focus.During the…
The use of fear as a tool to influence public behaviour has periodically shaped UK policy and public perception across major political and social events.Although Britain personifies…
In Breaking The code of History in chapter 7 on Polarisation, we explained how the Nazis subverted German society and then persecuted any good German who resisted this shift in collective identity…
In our Theory of Human Collective Systems (THCS), we outlined the structure of our modern human civilizations and our potential to evolve beyond our current patterns of…
The emotion of fear has been a critical part of human social evolution, yet it is a topic rarely examined in public discourse until recently with the UK government's use of fear to encourage…
The Western World has since WW2 lived in a comparative state of peace. Even though the cold war life on the home front continued unabated. Thus, under the tribal model…
Historical social structures and the evolution of warfare provide context for gender roles in conflict and the gradual shift toward greater female participation in modern military…
Shifts in women’s rights across different societies highlight diverging political and cultural trajectories, with implications for equality and broader societal roles.
…The above images shows the many casualties of this Command Paper. Losses that will almost certainly translate into actual loss of life in the future. Because the…
The much anticipated Strategic Review contains a fundamental flaw that runs through the review;
3.1 Denial 1; The Failure To Recognise The Imminent Chinese…
The UK’s Integrated Defence Review is assessed as a pivotal but flawed attempt to redefine national security strategy in a rapidly evolving geopolitical environment. The wake up…
In our Global Forecaster Now or Never report summary, we used historical analogies to demonstrate the danger that Britain is now in, as it faces an expansive and…
The blockage of the Suez Canal by the 224,000 tonne (gross tonnage) Evergreen-operated container ship Ever Given, should be a major wake-up call as to the importance of…
This book follows our Now Or Never Global Forecaster Review that was published in October 2020 and sent to the UK Treasury, The Ministry of Defence, and 10 Downing…









