Global Forecaster

Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events

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“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”

Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.

Murrination Insights

Geopolitical Forecasts

Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.

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Last Update: Mon, 06/04/2026 - 19:57
Introduction

In our previous Murrination we examined the collapse of the Doomsday Bubble, which has been created by the excess levels of debt. In this Murrination we look at how the accumulation…

The Bubble of All Things (or Doomsday Bubble) when it collapses, will have implications way beyond a 1929 style collapse, as it will significantly weaken America and the…

Last Update: Sun, 21/03/2021 - 17:19

Global forecaster makes predictions that have a high track record of success, but when we get it wrong we like to admit it, so we can learn from those mistakes. So here…

Last Update: Sat, 01/01/2022 - 11:11

Seeking effective guidelines for a new integrated China containment policy, we have used the lessons of the past to create eight key tenants for a UK strategy focused on…

Last Update: Mon, 06/04/2026 - 20:01

2.1 The All Out Arms Race

Many people have been taught that WW1 erupted by accident in 1914 through miscalculation. However, my work has revealed that nothing could be further from the…

Last Update: Mon, 06/04/2026 - 20:10
Introduction

A systemic rivalry is emerging between China’s CCP-led autocratic model and Western democratic systems, reflecting a long-standing historical pattern in which rising powers challenge…

Last Update: Tue, 28/04/2026 - 14:20
Introduction

Extreme speculative bubbles follow repeatable behavioural patterns, where asset prices detach from underlying value, expand through mass participation and financial innovation, and…

Last Update: Fri, 16/02/2024 - 06:56

Team Boris did a fabulous job of completing the Brexit process against all the odds and created as smooth a transition as possible into the new Global Britain. During the negotiations, the one…

Last Update: Tue, 28/04/2026 - 14:27
Introduction

Speculative bubbles in new asset classes follow consistent psychological and structural patterns, where rapid price appreciation driven by belief and momentum ultimately gives way to…

Last Update: Mon, 22/03/2021 - 14:14

There is now no doubt that over the past months the market has been in the grip of a Bubble of all Things. Where money that was printed on a scale never seen before has …

The above image is the Fall of Constantinople (May 29, 1453)

The dwindling Byzantine Empire came to an end when the Ottomans breached Constantinople's ancient…

Following a recent presentation, I thought you might be interested in some of Global Forecasters Predictions and services.You can find the audio here and the associated …

Last Update: Wed, 29/04/2026 - 11:54
Introduction

Systemic failures exposed by the pandemic have revealed structural weaknesses in the UK healthcare system, creating the conditions for large-scale reform driven by efficiency,…

Last Update: Fri, 03/11/2023 - 11:24

During our Murrinations since the pandemic outbreak in early January, we have been well ahead of the curve and predicted the unfolding of events well ahead of time. This has included the…

Last Update: Wed, 29/04/2026 - 12:10
Introduction

Public tolerance of leadership quality follows cyclical patterns, where periods of decline normalise incompetence until rising national pressure forces a shift back toward…

Last Update: Sun, 19/12/2021 - 15:18

Obama's poor leadership compounded America's already decreasing national energy and irrevocably weakened the American hegemony, a decline that was initially obscured by post-Cold War hubris.…

Last Update: Thu, 16/02/2023 - 08:50

Despite the recent polls suggesting that some 52% of Scots favour independence, I predict Scotland will not vote to leave the Union. The background to this prediction is given in my four part…

Last Update: Fri, 05/02/2021 - 13:07

 

Whatever collective revolutionary emotions have been naturally in evidence in the Russian population, there is no doubt they have been skilfully amplified by Western intelligence…