Global Forecaster

Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events

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“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”

Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.

Murrination Insights

Geopolitical Forecasts

Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.

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We in the West seem to be living in the biggest financial bubble in Western history since the South Sea bubble of 1720 which was driven by the implosion of the 1711 established South Sea Company (…

Last Update: Wed, 18/03/2026 - 14:27
Introduction

Tensions around Ukraine are shaped by shifting great power dynamics, particularly the growing alignment between Russia and China and the weakening of Russia’s domestic position.…

Last Update: Sun, 29/03/2026 - 23:57
Introduction

The US withdrawal from Afghanistan is framed as a strategic inflection point, raising questions about American credibility, deterrence, and the broader balance of power in an…

Last Update: Wed, 18/03/2026 - 14:15
Introduction

The UK Parliament’s recognition of human rights abuses in Xinjiang reflects a growing tension between democratic values and economic ties with China, highlighting a shift toward more…

8.0 First Build in the US, Japan or China?

All three of the US, Japan and China navies are already committed to the evolution of the multi-mission destroyer, so are well on the road to…

Last Update: Fri, 23/04/2021 - 16:47

The cost of modern warships such as the Type 26, Type 45 and Arleigh Burke-class has considerably increased per unit over the decades. This has resulted in a reduction in the number of units…

1.0 Time for a New Dreadnought-Type Innovation in Warship Design

In a time when battleships usually took several years to build, the construction and launch in…

Last Update: Fri, 30/04/2021 - 11:01

Since December 2020 we have been warning that tensions around Taiwan are reaching critical levels. This has been primarily driven by Xi’s agenda of expansion, recently…

In the following Murrination we seek to better understand the Duke of Edinburgh's remarkable life, highlighting the Iconic Leadership he embodied within the context of Britain’s…

Last Update: Mon, 30/03/2026 - 00:06
Introduction

The UK’s pandemic response is framed as a case of policy distortion driven by fear-based communication, with implications for democratic accountability and strategic focus.During the…

Last Update: Mon, 30/03/2026 - 00:20
Introduction

The use of fear as a tool to influence public behaviour has periodically shaped UK policy and public perception across major political and social events.Although Britain personifies…

Last Update: Mon, 30/03/2026 - 00:31

In Breaking The code of History in chapter 7 on Polarisation, we explained how the Nazis subverted German society and then persecuted any good German who resisted this shift in collective identity…

In our  Theory of Human Collective Systems (THCS), we outlined the structure of our modern human civilizations and our potential to evolve beyond our current patterns of…

Last Update: Thu, 15/04/2021 - 13:50

The emotion of fear has been a critical part of human social evolution, yet it is a topic rarely examined in public discourse until recently with the UK government's use of fear to encourage…

Last Update: Fri, 09/04/2021 - 12:05

The Western World has since WW2 lived in a comparative state of peace. Even though the cold war life on the home front continued unabated. Thus, under the tribal model…

Last Update: Mon, 30/03/2026 - 00:48
Introduction

Historical social structures and the evolution of warfare provide context for gender roles in conflict and the gradual shift toward greater female participation in modern military…

Last Update: Mon, 30/03/2026 - 00:42
Introduction

Shifts in women’s rights across different societies highlight diverging political and cultural trajectories, with implications for equality and broader societal roles.

Last Update: Fri, 09/04/2021 - 13:18

The above images shows the many casualties of this Command Paper. Losses that will almost certainly translate into actual loss of life in the future. Because the…