The U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan and wider geopolitical developments have raised questions about American leadership, alliance stability and the future balance of global power.…
Global Forecaster
Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events
“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”
Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.
Murrination Insights
Geopolitical Forecasts
Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.
Posted by David Murrin on Sat, 04/09/2021 - 11:00
Last Update: Thu, 04/11/2021 - 20:48
The American retreat from Kabul counts as the worst defeat in modern American history; inflicted not by a more powerful or smarter enemy, but rather by the command of a deluded and belligerent…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 27/08/2021 - 12:00
Last Update: Thu, 04/11/2021 - 10:26
China's ambitions to become the new global hegemony are now clear to all, and are very well developed with respect to the expansion of its Navy and tactical missile…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 25/08/2021 - 12:00
Last Update: Tue, 17/03/2026 - 10:20
Introduction
The current American-Russian strategic nuclear balance is, in most respects, a legacy of the Cold War weapon development program. However, Putin's Russia…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 23/08/2021 - 12:00
Last Update: Tue, 17/03/2026 - 11:12
Introduction
Nuclear strategy during the Cold War established the framework for escalation, deterrence and global power balance, which continues to shape modern geopolitical dynamics.
1.0…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 19/08/2021 - 17:00
Last Update: Mon, 23/08/2021 - 16:37
As we move through August, our Arkent predictions across all of the Market sectors seem on track, especially now Equities have started to reverse. We expect that events in Afghanistan and the…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 19/08/2021 - 12:00
Last Update: Tue, 17/03/2026 - 10:16
Introduction
Back in 2009, when climate change denial was rampant, our analysis of the reality of climate change and its profound impact on our habitat on Earth was…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 17/08/2021 - 12:00
Last Update: Tue, 17/08/2021 - 13:05
The calamitous collapse of Afghanistan, counts as a similar humiliation for America to that of the fall of Saigon. A humiliation that took almost 25 years to reverse with an…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 12/08/2021 - 14:00
4.1 The Potential Succession of the Western Cape
The fractures within South Africa are not just tribal but also regionally based, linked to where various tribes are concentrated. The…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 09/08/2021 - 12:00
Last Update: Thu, 12/03/2026 - 12:18
Introduction
Recent unrest in South Africa has raised concerns about political stability, economic pressures and the capacity of state institutions to respond to internal crises.
3.1 The…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 05/08/2021 - 12:00
Last Update: Thu, 12/03/2026 - 12:40
Introduction
Economic decline can intensify internal divisions within multi-ethnic societies, particularly where existing social and tribal structures already shape political and economic…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 03/08/2021 - 12:00
Last Update: Thu, 12/03/2026 - 13:25
Introduction
I have an enduring love of South Africa and its people and consider it my second home. As such I find myself writing this Murrination with great sadness and concern for the road…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 30/07/2021 - 12:00
Last Update: Sun, 15/08/2021 - 17:39
Our Theory of The Five Phases Of Empires was published in 2009 in Breaking The Code of History; The key Observation was that we would see a great power shift from West to East as American power…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 23/07/2021 - 09:00
Last Update: Tue, 17/03/2026 - 11:19
Introduction
US–China relations during and after the 20th century were shaped by strategic decisions made during wartime and the Cold War.
…Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 21/07/2021 - 09:00
2.0 America and Russia in WW2. This relationship was driven by Roosevelt’s naivety concerning Stalin's expansive intentions for communist Russia. All he could see was…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 19/07/2021 - 09:00
Last Update: Tue, 17/03/2026 - 11:36
Introduction
History is clear when it comes to the nature of hegemony. Specifically, that It is very lonely at the top where there are no such things as friends,…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 12/07/2021 - 13:00
Last Update: Thu, 14/05/2026 - 06:36
History is replete with events that change the course of history. The Wuhan Pandemic is just such an event, whose repercussions will echo through eternity.
8.0 The World Has Forever…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 08/07/2021 - 16:00
Last Update: Fri, 16/07/2021 - 11:18
Our working theory over the past quarter has been that the Doomsday Bubble has comprised of not one single bubble, but rather a flock of bubbles. That they would not…
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