Global Forecaster

Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events

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“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”

Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.

Murrination Insights

Geopolitical Forecasts

Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.

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Last Update: Tue, 17/03/2026 - 11:19
Introduction

US–China relations during and after the 20th century were shaped by strategic decisions made during wartime and the Cold War.

2.0 America and Russia in WW2. This relationship was driven by Roosevelt’s naivety concerning Stalin's expansive intentions for communist Russia. All he could see was…

Last Update: Tue, 17/03/2026 - 11:36
Introduction

History is clear when it comes to the nature of hegemony. Specifically, that It is very lonely at the top where there are no such things as friends,…

Last Update: Thu, 14/05/2026 - 06:36

History is replete with events that change the course of history. The Wuhan Pandemic is just such an event, whose repercussions will echo through eternity.

8.0 The World Has Forever…

Last Update: Fri, 16/07/2021 - 11:18

Our working theory over the past quarter has been that the Doomsday Bubble has comprised of not one single bubble, but rather a flock of bubbles. That they would not…

Last Update: Wed, 07/07/2021 - 09:31

The resignation of Matt Hancock in a single sweep has shifted the power within the inner circle of government. The 'quad', as it was nicknamed, comprising of Boris Johnson, Ritchie Sunak, Michael…

Last Update: Wed, 18/03/2026 - 10:42
Introduction

The pandemic represents a structural shift in global security, where biological threats move from a peripheral risk to a central domain of strategic competition between major powers…

Last Update: Mon, 27/02/2023 - 09:10

6.1 The Evidence For Laboratory Origin is Very Strong

In previous sections, we have examined the evidence for the natural versus laboratory origins of SARS-CoV-2, and on balance there is a…

Last Update: Fri, 25/06/2021 - 09:05

The recent reports of the HMS Defender (A Type 45 Destroyer) incident off the Crimea should be raising alarm bells in No. 10 Downing Street and across Britain. Instead,…

Last Update: Tue, 17/03/2026 - 13:10
Introduction

When we think of America, we often think of Silicon Valley and its technical innovations and successes. Whilst 20 years ago its lead was unassailable, …

Last Update: Tue, 17/03/2026 - 13:13
Introduction

Technological development and scientific capacity play a central role in shaping power during phases of national expansion.

2.0 China; The perfect example of innovation and…

Last Update: Tue, 17/03/2026 - 13:05
Introduction

Science has been Integral to the rise of mankind, driven by competition and our unique ability to harness invention into new technologies that enhance our survival and competitive…

Last Update: Wed, 18/03/2026 - 12:39
Introduction

UK policy is assessed as misaligned with emerging geopolitical realities, particularly the shift toward renewed great power competition and rising military threats from states such…

Last Update: Thu, 24/06/2021 - 17:24

Over the past 18 months America's absence from the global stage has been sorely missed. During a time when democracy has been reeling under the impact of the pandemic. Thus last weeks G7 and NATO …

Last Update: Tue, 17/03/2026 - 14:37
Introduction

The press coverage of the G7 has, as is typical of our times, been uninformative as to the magnitude of this event, on many levels. The G7 summit marked a…

For those that are regular readers of Murrinations, you will have noted that History has provided clear lessons as to the only  way to avoid a conflict, when there is an expansive aggressive…

Last Update: Mon, 14/06/2021 - 08:55

Warfare and individual combat are but fractals of the same process in which two energetic systems join in conflict to decide a victor. Understanding both the macro and micro dynamics of conflict…

Last Update: Fri, 11/06/2021 - 18:51

Since we started this series of articles, the possibility of SARS-CoV-2 having originated from a laboratory in Wuhan has recently started to be debated in the Western…