Global Forecaster

Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events

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“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”

Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.

Murrination Insights

Geopolitical Forecasts

Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.

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Last Update: Wed, 29/04/2026 - 12:24

Our March 2020 prediction that Putin could be unseated in the year ahead is looking to be accurate Ten Predictions For The Rest of 2020.

This Global Forecaster…

Last Update: Wed, 29/04/2026 - 12:55
Introduction

Brexit marks a structural break in the European balance of power, exposing underlying weaknesses within the EU while enabling the UK to pursue a more adaptive and competitive global…

Last Update: Thu, 05/02/2026 - 10:47
3.0 A post-war Europe Shaped By France

The EU was constructed by the French to contain a fourth German wave of expansion following WW2. Germany, as the youngest of the…

Last Update: Thu, 05/02/2026 - 10:52
2.0 The Decline of Germany

In this section, we apply our five stages of the Empire model to the decline of modern Germany.

2.1 German…

Last Update: Thu, 05/02/2026 - 10:59
​1.0 Merkel, The Architect of Disaster

This week, Angela Merkel announced that she would be stepping down from the leadership of Germany after 16 years, following the November 2021 elections. She…

Last Update: Wed, 29/04/2026 - 13:32

1.0 Social media networked traders have hit the news headlines this week causing alarm. However,  when they are viewed using Global Forecaster price modelling analysis…

Last Update: Thu, 28/01/2021 - 08:34

As the UK reaches 100,000 reported deaths from the pandemic, the UK's  government and press have recognised this gruesome milestone. A statistical estimate is that those…

Last Update: Thu, 30/04/2026 - 12:37
Introduction

Those that have read my Theory of Anti Entropy of Human Systems will appreciate that entropy impacts are cumulative on a human social structure. Wars,…

Last Update: Thu, 30/04/2026 - 12:28

Firstly, I must comment on the excellent words of President Biden over the past 48 hours. There is no doubt that his intentions are good, and his pandemic plans reflect reality. Most critically, …

Last Update: Tue, 19/01/2021 - 18:13

Understanding The Manifestation of National Energy

National energy is a term I use in association with the location of a nation or large social system in its…

Last Update: Fri, 08/05/2026 - 12:35
Introduction

The emergence of new COVID variants marks a shift from a single vaccination challenge to a prolonged mutation-driven pandemic requiring tighter borders, faster detection, and…

Last Update: Fri, 08/05/2026 - 12:56
Introduction

After beginning 2021 with optimism, the world faces a convergence of political, economic, and geopolitical crises that threaten to accelerate instability across the West while…

Last Update: Tue, 12/05/2026 - 13:06
Introduction

The aftermath of the 2020 US election exposed deep fractures within American democracy, culminating in the storming of the Capitol and raising fears of escalating political…

Last Update: Tue, 12/05/2026 - 13:19
Introduction

The pandemic requires a wartime grand strategy, combining national mobilisation, scientific rigour, economic adaptation, border control, mass vaccination, and global coordination to…

Last Update: Tue, 12/05/2026 - 13:38
Introduction

The pandemic has exposed the weakness of declining Western systems and the danger of responding to a long-term viral war with short-term hope rather than a realistic wartime strategy…

Last Update: Thu, 14/01/2021 - 15:44

The trade deal with the UK and EU is a remarkable achievement for the Boris-Frost duo. Despite the Draconian and punitive negotiating stance employed by Barnier, they…

Last Update: Thu, 24/12/2020 - 09:32

 

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The above images show the mutational development and spread of the virus to date. Note how many mutations…

Last Update: Thu, 13/05/2021 - 12:23

​The location of American fleets is an excellent way of understanding who America sees as a potential threat. Until 2019 the American Navy's numbered fleets were the 3rd…