The pandemic requires a wartime grand strategy, combining national mobilisation, scientific rigour, economic adaptation, border control, mass vaccination, and global coordination to…
Global Forecaster
Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events
“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”
Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.
Murrination Insights
Geopolitical Forecasts
Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 06/01/2021 - 14:00
Last Update: Tue, 12/05/2026 - 13:38
Introduction
The pandemic has exposed the weakness of declining Western systems and the danger of responding to a long-term viral war with short-term hope rather than a realistic wartime strategy…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 31/12/2020 - 12:00
Last Update: Thu, 14/01/2021 - 15:44
The trade deal with the UK and EU is a remarkable achievement for the Boris-Frost duo. Despite the Draconian and punitive negotiating stance employed by Barnier, they…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 22/12/2020 - 16:15
Last Update: Thu, 24/12/2020 - 09:32
Image
The above images show the mutational development and spread of the virus to date. Note how many mutations…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 17/12/2020 - 13:00
Last Update: Thu, 13/05/2021 - 12:23
The location of American fleets is an excellent way of understanding who America sees as a potential threat. Until 2019 the American Navy's numbered fleets were the 3rd…
Posted by David Murrin on Sun, 13/12/2020 - 14:00
Last Update: Tue, 12/05/2026 - 13:43
Introduction
A no-deal Brexit is presented not as a national failure, but as the cleanest route to restoring British sovereignty, escaping EU control mechanisms, and forcing Britain into a more…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 07/12/2020 - 13:00
Last Update: Wed, 19/02/2025 - 10:03
The Now Or Never Campaign
In 2015, appalled by the government's defence review that effectively…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 03/12/2020 - 16:00
Last Update: Wed, 13/05/2026 - 11:40
Introduction
As the pandemic devastates America and Europe, China’s rapid recovery and aggressive response to scrutiny raise urgent questions about the origins of the Wuhan virus and the CCP’s…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 03/12/2020 - 14:00
Last Update: Fri, 04/12/2020 - 16:27
The New Global Britain, A Time of New Heroes
Britain, as described earlier, has entered a time of expansion. New heroes yet to be recognised will very much be a…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 01/12/2020 - 14:00
Last Update: Tue, 01/12/2020 - 19:30
5.0 Decline and the Rise of the Anti-Heroes.
We all have a clear picture of heroes and anti-heroes ingrained in our minds. Every member of a human society will have such archetypes. Using…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 30/11/2020 - 13:00
Last Update: Tue, 12/05/2026 - 15:43
Introduction
Britain faces a severe economic crisis created by the pandemic response, rising debt, and collapsing growth, but unlike the EU and America it still has the national energy and…
Posted by David Murrin on Sun, 29/11/2020 - 14:00
Last Update: Mon, 14/12/2020 - 11:30
Good leadership requires complex problems be solved by identifying variables, correctly weighting those with the greatest impact and prioritising their resolution to minimise the effect of entropy…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 27/11/2020 - 10:00
Last Update: Wed, 13/05/2026 - 12:12
Introduction
The rise and decline of empires produces different kinds of heroes, with each phase of national development creating the leaders, soldiers, reformers, and anti-heroes suited to that…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 25/11/2020 - 13:00
Last Update: Wed, 13/05/2026 - 11:34
Introduction
America’s decline is accelerating beneath inflated markets, with five interconnected crises threatening to break into the open.
1.0 Whilst the Fed has been printing money and…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 23/11/2020 - 11:00
Last Update: Tue, 24/11/2020 - 09:24
Heroes save us from danger. In return, we express our gratitude by elevating them to icons within society. In so doing we seek to encourage the emulation of similar…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 18/11/2020 - 15:00
Last Update: Thu, 19/11/2020 - 09:23
I would like to share my concept of leadership in the expanding phase of my Five Phases model. The expanding phase in the cycle is where leadership is the most dynamic…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 17/11/2020 - 14:00
Last Update: Wed, 18/11/2020 - 09:14
We have been witnessing a leadership crisis in America since the Clinton era, a crisis that has been taken to new heights of dysfunction by Trump. Simultaneously, the…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 16/11/2020 - 09:00
Last Update: Wed, 18/11/2020 - 09:21
When President Obama announced the full withdrawal of troops from Iraq on 21 October 2011 he left a vacuum. It was quickly filled by ISIS (ISIL), an extreme and brutal…
© David Murrin 2026. All images courtesy of Getty Images. |