The basis of my predictions is the modelling of human collective behaviour. As part of that study, it is easy to see that there are periods of decline in systems, during which they are old,…
Global Forecaster
Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events
“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”
Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.
Murrination Insights
Geopolitical Forecasts
Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 11/09/2020 - 14:00
Last Update: Mon, 14/09/2020 - 13:50
The start of September was marked by my predicted blow-off high in the US stock markets that has burst one of the greatest equity bubbles of all time.
The three warning signals came in the…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 10/09/2020 - 15:00
Last Update: Mon, 26/10/2020 - 13:21
What do flat taxes, the Defence Review, the UK's pandemic strategy and a no-deal Brexit have in common? They all require bold strategies to maximise the UK's outcomes.…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 04/09/2020 - 07:36
Last Update: Wed, 20/03/2024 - 09:22
11.00 Strategies for Boris to Turn Scotland Around
11.1 Independence is an emotional issue
Only recently, Britain left the EU after years of internal debate and external…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 03/09/2020 - 14:17
Last Update: Sun, 06/09/2020 - 12:28
8.0 Rise of the SNP and Scottish Nationalism
The Scottish National Party is a nationalist and social-democratic political party founded in Edinburgh in 1934. By the mid-1930s the decline…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 02/09/2020 - 08:57
Last Update: Sun, 06/09/2020 - 12:20
You must know the battleground. You must know the time of battle. You can then travel a thousand miles and still win the battle
The Art of War, 6: 6.1–3
…Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 01/09/2020 - 11:54
Last Update: Sun, 06/09/2020 - 11:17
1.0 A Brief History Of The Union
The Union of England and Scotland goes back to 1707. But, as always, historical events have a backstory. In this case, the Act of Union bailed out a…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 27/08/2020 - 11:30
Last Update: Tue, 01/09/2020 - 19:53
As we approach the 2020 Strategic Defence and Security Review, there are wild ideas circulating in the press about vital military capabilities that may be axed. The…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 24/08/2020 - 17:36
Last Update: Tue, 25/08/2020 - 21:31
The fact that Britain underwent a regional civil war, or what is popularly known as BREXIT, without resorting to civil conflict is in my mind a positive. This is because civil wars are the first…
© David Murrin 2026. All images courtesy of Getty Images. |