Well, we’re about to find out!
My prediction, dating back to late January this year, that Biden would win on wealth distribution politics appears to be on track. Coupled with this was my…
Global Forecaster
Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events
“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”
Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.
Murrination Insights
Geopolitical Forecasts
Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 14/10/2020 - 12:00
Last Update: Wed, 14/10/2020 - 13:28
Surveillance Is A Potentially Hostile Act
This includes state surveillance and criminal surveillance. In this regard, the first line of defence is to recognise you are being surveyed. This…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 07/10/2020 - 15:00
Last Update: Wed, 13/05/2026 - 13:17
Introduction
The global financial system is entering a major turning point, as America’s decline, China’s rise, and decades of money printing combine to end the asset bubble that has supported…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 06/10/2020 - 14:00
Last Update: Tue, 27/09/2022 - 08:21
7.1 The Kinetic Threat to Britain
The conclusion concerning the decisions about to be taken in this 2020 Strategic Defence Review is that for the fourth time in 110 years Britain faces an…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 05/10/2020 - 20:15
Last Update: Mon, 26/10/2020 - 13:23
Image
6.1 The Need for a Revolution in the Ministry Of Defence
The relationship between the Ministry of…
Posted by David Murrin on Sun, 04/10/2020 - 17:00
Last Update: Mon, 26/10/2020 - 13:26
5.1 Historical Perspectives
Historically, democracies have not been good at anticipating rising aggressor nations and preparing a commensurately…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 02/10/2020 - 14:45
Last Update: Mon, 26/10/2020 - 13:24
4.1 The Requirement For The UK's Key Strategic Defence Capabilities Commensurate With The Foreign Policy Strategy
There are four key areas relating to the defence commands. The following…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 30/09/2020 - 13:31
Last Update: Wed, 13/05/2026 - 13:58
Introduction
Britain’s departure from the EU marks more than a constitutional break; it signals a return to its historic role as a sovereign maritime power. In a world defined by American decline…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 30/09/2020 - 13:30
Last Update: Wed, 13/05/2026 - 14:17
Introduction
Britain stands at a critical strategic moment. After decades of defence cuts, rising threats from China and Russia, and the return of Britain to an independent global maritime role,…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 28/09/2020 - 15:00
Last Update: Mon, 26/10/2020 - 13:24
1.1 Rising Threats
There are times in history where threats remain latent and multiple scenario planning is applicable. However, today, based on the thesis outlined in ‘Breaking the Code…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 28/09/2020 - 10:30
Last Update: Wed, 13/05/2026 - 14:07
Foreword
This is the second Global Forecaster Strategic Defence Review. It's origins date back to the disastrous government review of 2015 where it was clear to me that both our political and…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 24/09/2020 - 17:00
Last Update: Mon, 19/10/2020 - 07:57
The mishandling of the pandemic response by Boris and his government can only be described as disastrous. The string of appalling late responses, misjudgments and random…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 21/09/2020 - 10:00
Last Update: Wed, 13/05/2026 - 14:30
Introduction
Over the past two decades, the West has repeatedly signalled weakness through failed interventions, reduced defence capability and a lack of political will. To expansive powers such…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 18/09/2020 - 11:45
Last Update: Wed, 13/05/2026 - 14:35
Introduction
The lessons of Britain’s past wars remain directly relevant today. World War I, World War II and the Cold War all show that peace is preserved not by weakness or ambiguity, but by…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 17/09/2020 - 12:00
Last Update: Thu, 14/05/2026 - 12:00
Introduction
Britain’s victories in the two World Wars often obscure a more uncomfortable truth: in both 1914 and 1939, the nation entered conflict dangerously underprepared. Those mistakes were…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 16/09/2020 - 07:15
Last Update: Thu, 14/05/2026 - 12:24
Introduction
The pandemic response should be guided by evidence rather than fear. With an autumn second wave likely, governments need to reassess lockdown policies, focus on meaningful data such…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 14/09/2020 - 17:00
Last Update: Thu, 14/05/2026 - 12:33
Introduction
The Western pandemic response reflects a wider pattern of decline: old systems becoming rigid, fearful and unable to adapt effectively under pressure. Rather than acting with…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 11/09/2020 - 14:00
Last Update: Mon, 14/09/2020 - 13:50
The start of September was marked by my predicted blow-off high in the US stock markets that has burst one of the greatest equity bubbles of all time.
The three warning signals came in the…
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