What do flat taxes, the Defence Review, the UK's pandemic strategy and a no-deal Brexit have in common? They all require bold strategies to maximise the UK's outcomes.…
Global Forecaster
Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events
“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”
Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.
Murrination Insights
Geopolitical Forecasts
Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 04/09/2020 - 07:36
Last Update: Thu, 14/05/2026 - 13:38
11.00 Strategies for Boris to Turn Scotland Around
11.1 Independence is an emotional issue
Only recently did Britain leave the EU after years of internal debate and external negotiations…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 03/09/2020 - 14:17
Last Update: Thu, 26/02/2026 - 08:00
8.0 Rise of the SNP and Scottish Nationalism
The Scottish National Party is a nationalist and social-democratic political party founded in Edinburgh in 1934. By the mid-1930s, the decline of the…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 02/09/2020 - 08:57
Last Update: Thu, 26/02/2026 - 08:49
2.0 Population and National Character
Scotland's population demographics tell an interesting story. They have been very constant throughout the 20th century; they were 4.8 million in…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 01/09/2020 - 11:54
Last Update: Thu, 26/02/2026 - 08:22
1.0 A Brief History Of The Union
The Union of England and Scotland goes back to 1707. But, as always, historical events have a backstory. In this case, the Act of Union bailed out a bankrupt…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 27/08/2020 - 11:30
Last Update: Tue, 26/05/2026 - 07:51
Introduction
Britain’s armoured capability should not be weakened at the very moment global military threats are increasing. Tanks remain central to deterrence and land warfare, but they must be…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 24/08/2020 - 17:36
Last Update: Thu, 14/05/2026 - 13:54
Introduction
Brexit marked a peaceful but profound national transformation, giving Britain the chance to break from old systems and prepare for a more dangerous decade ahead. Yet the pandemic and…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 21/08/2020 - 14:19
Last Update: Tue, 19/05/2026 - 10:33
Introduction
The 2020 election is unfolding against a dangerous disconnect between inflated equity markets and the harsh economic reality facing ordinary Americans. While Trump and the Fed have…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 21/08/2020 - 11:57
Last Update: Tue, 17/01/2023 - 11:41
Image
The above diagrams show the Typhoon class submarine (top), until recently the largest submarine ever built, compared…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 20/08/2020 - 17:34
Last Update: Mon, 26/10/2020 - 12:25
Until only recently, Britain and the West have severely underestimated Putin. NATO nations have been guilty of appalling sloppiness in not adapting their foreign policy…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 20/08/2020 - 16:51
Last Update: Tue, 19/05/2026 - 10:40
1.0 The first of the significant warning signals at the start of 2020 that indicated a major demand slump and impending financial crisis was the behaviour of the…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 18/08/2020 - 10:30
Last Update: Thu, 20/08/2020 - 17:59
In today's rapidly shifting geopolitical landscape, lessons drawn from history are more vital than ever. In my new book, The Road to Wars, I discuss the algorithmic expansion of an aggressive and…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 17/08/2020 - 16:22
Last Update: Mon, 26/10/2020 - 12:31
According to Sun Tzu, the prevention of conflict is essential to a sound military strategy: war itself is a last resort, high cost choice. This perspective is particularly critical for older…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 14/08/2020 - 15:55
Last Update: Mon, 26/10/2020 - 12:30
This maxim specifically applies to America's strategy that should be focussed on deterring China from aggression and a potential WW3 through the critical commodity cycle peak of 2025 to 2027. Key…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 06/08/2020 - 15:51
Last Update: Tue, 19/05/2026 - 11:36
Introduction
China’s rise is not just economic or military; it is strategic. The West understands China far less than China understands the West, leaving Western powers dangerously exposed to a…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 06/08/2020 - 15:15
Last Update: Tue, 02/06/2026 - 17:27
Introduction
History repeatedly shows that great-power conflict is often driven less by ideology than by internal economic pressures and the strategic choices they force upon expansionist states…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 06/08/2020 - 13:31
Last Update: Tue, 19/05/2026 - 11:00
Introduction
The world has entered a historic power shift from West to East. What once seemed impossible — the decline of US-led Western dominance — is now unfolding rapidly, with rising…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 05/08/2020 - 17:20
Last Update: Tue, 02/06/2026 - 17:32
Introduction
China’s growing economic power has given it influence far beyond its borders. Nations that once fiercely resisted foreign pressure are increasingly finding themselves constrained by…
© David Murrin 2026. All images courtesy of Getty Images. |