Today, we celebrate VE Day.
On May 8th 1945 after almost six years of war, Hitler's Nazis were crushed into total surrender. The Nazis were a formidable foe, who never relented in their…
Global Forecaster
Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events
“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”
Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.
Murrination Insights
Geopolitical Forecasts
Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 07/05/2020 - 13:57
Last Update: Mon, 26/10/2020 - 13:17
In LESSONS FROM PAST ENTROPY SHOCKS I hypothesised that the Wuhan Virus will accelerate the natural underlying trends in systems by accelerating either expansion or decline. The most obvious…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 06/05/2020 - 12:21
Last Update: Thu, 07/05/2020 - 08:25
US-China Polarisation
The polarisation process between China and America has been escalating over the past five years, as China’s challenge towards American power has become more obvious.…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 04/05/2020 - 09:28
Last Update: Mon, 04/05/2020 - 18:09
For those of you who believe the flattening of the curves and release from lockdown will see the end of this pandemic, I am very sorry to disappoint you. One only has to examine Singapore. They…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 30/04/2020 - 13:59
Last Update: Thu, 16/01/2025 - 10:37
1.0 A Critical Juncture in Modern History
Reality is a brutal overlord. Winning the war against the Wuhan Virus will be a long term global challenge. I believe it will take the world…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 23/04/2020 - 08:14
Last Update: Thu, 30/04/2020 - 16:49
I am the first to recognise the Brexit process exemplified British national character, one of self-determination. This is something that provides hope for the future.…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 22/04/2020 - 11:21
Last Update: Fri, 14/06/2024 - 08:26
Norway 1940 All Over Again
Whatever bad advice has been given to the leadership Boris must take responsibility for…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 20/04/2020 - 11:35
Last Update: Wed, 22/04/2020 - 16:08
The first of the big warning signals that my Arkent scenario was right was the behaviour of the commodity sector, especially oil. In a world where economic numbers were…
Posted by David Murrin on Sat, 18/04/2020 - 09:44
Last Update: Mon, 20/04/2020 - 10:24
The Wuhan Virus mutates in proportion to the number of people it infects. When it mutates it then produces new strains/types that could create simultaneous pandemics. This is of…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 17/04/2020 - 16:52
Last Update: Wed, 28/10/2020 - 12:29
Yesterday marked Phase 2’s end in the Wuhan Market Crisis. For those of you who are not Arkent Scenario subscribers, Phase 1 was the first leg of the equity drop. Phase 2 was the corrective bounce…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 14/04/2020 - 08:07
Last Update: Tue, 14/04/2020 - 11:32
When fighting a war, it is critical to analyse an enemy's weaknesses in order to achieve victory. One of those weaknesses in the Wuhan Virus is it’s codependency as it needs our…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 13/04/2020 - 13:13
Last Update: Sun, 03/05/2020 - 12:26
One of the main weapons of the Wuhan Virus against humanity, is to break down human social cohesion as we isolate to prevent infection. This effectively reduces…
Posted by David Murrin on Sat, 11/04/2020 - 09:04
Last Update: Mon, 26/10/2020 - 13:16
Situation Report
The spread of the Pandemic has officially infected 1,699,500 and killed over 102,800 people. However, the real numbers will be far higher.…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 08/04/2020 - 19:01
Last Update: Mon, 13/04/2020 - 12:59
Where Are We Now?
Since September last year, I have been following my Arkent scenario that mapped out the key stages running up to the equity markets’ peak…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 08/04/2020 - 11:32
Last Update: Mon, 13/04/2020 - 13:01
5.1 Lessons from British History.
Wars, as I have explained before, are entropy tsunamis and similarly so is this Wuhan Pandemic. They are survived by the nation with the strongest…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 06/04/2020 - 12:52
Last Update: Sun, 28/06/2020 - 08:36
The role of National Security Advisor in America is one of the key roles in the US administration. Yet, in the British government, the role of the National Security…
Posted by David Murrin on Sat, 04/04/2020 - 15:01
Last Update: Mon, 26/10/2020 - 13:14
1.0 The Vital Importance of Testing
Examining the responses of nations and their success in combating the Wuhan Virus one trend is very clear; greater testing leads to improved containment…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 02/04/2020 - 15:52
Last Update: Mon, 13/04/2020 - 13:03
Applying the analogy of Noah’s Ark by likening it to the economic shutdown of the Western economies, I note that it has been 41 days since my Murrination of February 22nd - LESSONS…
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