Tomorrow, the UK will hold its local elections for its councils, which will act as a proxy judgement by the British electorate of Johnson's tumultuous 2.4 years of leadership as Prime Minister.…
Global Forecaster
Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events
“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”
Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.
Murrination Insights
Geopolitical Forecasts
Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 02/05/2022 - 10:00
Last Update: Mon, 27/03/2023 - 10:43
Once a war has started, it often takes on a life and pathway of its own as the combatants become locked in a life or death struggle. When each side's resolve remains to fight because defeat is…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 26/04/2022 - 15:25
Last Update: Wed, 11/02/2026 - 12:41
Since correctly predicting and calling the real-time high of the NASDAQ at 16740, we have been warning that a significant stock market fall in excess of 60% was going to unfold in 2022. Since then…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 21/04/2022 - 08:00
Last Update: Wed, 10/05/2023 - 14:16
Forty years ago, an Exocet anti-ship missile sounded a deadly alarm by sinking HMS Sheffield. Last week, we were reminded of the power of sea-skimming anti-ship missiles with the sinking of the…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 20/04/2022 - 08:30
Last Update: Wed, 11/02/2026 - 12:58
1.0 Global Forecaster has accurately predicted the past two decades of election results in the UK and US, but has shied away from making any predictions about France and its elections until now.…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 14/04/2022 - 13:58
The above image is the imposing picture of The Great Wave (Kanagawa Oki Nami Ura) which is the best-known work by Japanese artist Hokusai Katsushika (1760–1849), one of…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 12/04/2022 - 12:00
Last Update: Fri, 22/04/2022 - 07:46
When Putin invaded Ukraine, the general expectation was that his forces would overwhelm Ukraine's resistance in a matter of days and weeks. However, this was not to be, for the reasons that we…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 08/04/2022 - 08:00
Last Update: Wed, 11/02/2026 - 14:03
Introduction
Every hegemonic arms race in history has a new weapon or tactical mechanism that epitomises the arms race and subsequent conflict as the dominant weapons system. In the run-up to…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 06/04/2022 - 09:00
Last Update: Tue, 23/08/2022 - 09:09
1.0 Political Incompetency
Well, here we are in another fine mess. Recently, there was a commentary in the press that a UK cabinet meeting discussing the cost of…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 05/04/2022 - 12:00
Last Update: Wed, 11/02/2026 - 14:40
Introduction
We have written about the Battle for Ukraine in numerous Murrinations Insights over the past weeks. The nature of our work requires us to look at the…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 04/04/2022 - 11:30
Last Update: Wed, 11/02/2026 - 14:47
Introduction
In this Murrinations Insight, we will link the fate of Ukraine to the successful conclusion of the Brexit process and the leadership of Boris Johnson though the crisis, and his re-…
Posted by David Murrin on Sat, 02/04/2022 - 08:00
Last Update: Mon, 04/04/2022 - 17:44
NLAWs and Javelin anti-tank missiles are the priority threat that the Russian army needs to negate to shift the balance of power on the battlefield. The many pictures like those below attest to…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 01/04/2022 - 08:00
Last Update: Mon, 04/04/2022 - 12:10
Our theory of Anti-Entropy in Human Systems explains why human societies keep fighting each other, in a constant test of entropy. Quite simply, it is Darwinism between…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 30/03/2022 - 14:00
1.0 Peace, But Not In Our Time
As we publish this article, the airwaves are full of the news of Russia's announcement that it was pulling back from Kyiv. Once more, the Western press and…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 29/03/2022 - 11:07
Last Update: Wed, 11/02/2026 - 14:58
Introduction
The Western press would like to portray that Ukraine is winning its war, that the Russians are wilting under sanctions and that Putin will fall under the pressure. However, the…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 28/03/2022 - 16:00
Last Update: Thu, 12/02/2026 - 13:14
Introduction
Our theory of Anti-Entropy in Human Systems explains why human societies keep fighting each other, in a constant test of entropy. Quite simply, it is Darwinism between human social…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 24/03/2022 - 11:00
Last Update: Wed, 13/04/2022 - 10:10
As Putin's war grinds into a temporary stalemate on the ground, his personal position is looking increasingly tenuous as his risk of being overthrown increases as the…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 22/03/2022 - 09:00
Last Update: Tue, 04/03/2025 - 13:49
There can be no doubt that Britain is in an economic war with Putin, and one that has exacerbated energy prices and given the politicians a scapegoat for the price increases (which, by the way,…
© David Murrin 2026. All images courtesy of Getty Images. |