The cinchona tree is the only known natural source of quinine. Its medicinal properties were discovered by the Quechua Indians of Peru and Bolivia, and later the Jesuits…
Global Forecaster
Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events
“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”
Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.
Murrination Insights
Geopolitical Forecasts
Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 12/02/2020 - 17:30
Last Update: Thu, 13/02/2020 - 10:43
I have for the past decade described the chaos in the Middle East as being driven by the rapid population growth that created a regional civil war. This is essentially the process whereby through…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 11/02/2020 - 12:17
Last Update: Tue, 22/10/2024 - 11:08
From the start of my career in finance as a discretionary trader 35 years ago, I have believed that the price of a market at any one time contains all aspects of the information available. Why I…
Posted by David Murrin on Sat, 08/02/2020 - 13:59
Last Update: Wed, 10/01/2024 - 18:32
The Age of Sail
In the ancient Mediterranean world, sea battles were decided by the size of the fleets, ramming, boarding, and fire. Design innovations were incremental whilst tactical…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 07/02/2020 - 11:41
Last Update: Mon, 26/10/2020 - 13:10
Many readers have asked me about how the US market can be making new highs when the Wuhan virus is raging through China and represents a clear an present danger, and yet the US stock…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 05/02/2020 - 09:39
Last Update: Thu, 06/02/2020 - 16:03
Trump remains under pressure in an Election Year, which is of great concern. As an unconstrained narcissist, we should expect Trump to respond to pressure by becoming even more unpredictable. If…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 05/02/2020 - 08:44
Last Update: Wed, 05/02/2020 - 13:31
Arkent readers will know that the signals generated from our analysis across the market complex have been warning of an impending major decline in global demand many months before the arrival of…
Posted by David Murrin on Sat, 01/02/2020 - 19:29
Last Update: Mon, 03/02/2020 - 10:57
I have long maintained that films are powerful indications of the social mood and values of a society. Within that context, the comparison between two recent war films is highly…
Posted by David Murrin on Sat, 01/02/2020 - 14:13
Last Update: Mon, 03/02/2020 - 10:39
As the Wuhan virus spreads across the world to become a pandemic, there is increasing evidence that the virus may have originated from the Bio labs in Wuhan, which are known to be…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 31/01/2020 - 14:44
Last Update: Mon, 17/02/2020 - 12:03
Will financial History repeat itself?
This image from 1929 of desperate investors gathering in desperation outside the wall street exchange has always fascinated me. 91 years later the…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 31/01/2020 - 09:30
Last Update: Mon, 26/10/2020 - 13:10
Today Britain will finally leave the EU continental model and return to being a sovereign state free to pursue our aspirations of once more becoming a Global maritime nation.
In Britain's …
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 30/01/2020 - 10:35
Last Update: Mon, 03/03/2025 - 18:00
When the majority of humans are confronted with an abnormal and extreme situation their brains fuse and they revert to a normal pattern of behaviour in the hope that the threat will just go away…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 29/01/2020 - 15:08
Last Update: Mon, 26/10/2020 - 13:09
My father was head of the airworthiness division of the CAA. Thus I was brought up with all the main players in the aviation business as family friends and have since then had an enduring…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 29/01/2020 - 09:09
Last Update: Mon, 26/10/2020 - 13:09
In a week when Britain can finally celebrate its newfound sovereignty as it departs the EU, it has made itself beholden to another foreign power, but one far less benign than the EU. Further to…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 28/01/2020 - 19:31
Last Update: Wed, 29/01/2020 - 12:14
Having seen my concerns that I expressed on Friday in my Murrination Underestimating The Snake Virus become generally recognised at the weekend. I have to admit to feeling increasing uneasy at…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 28/01/2020 - 09:39
Last Update: Mon, 03/02/2020 - 11:08
Economic and market environments shape the businesses and individuals that operate within them, just as it does for nations and empires as they cycle through The Five phase life cycle.
A…
Posted by David Murrin on Sun, 26/01/2020 - 09:32
Last Update: Sat, 28/03/2020 - 17:31
As an ex Hedge Fund Manager who predicted and profited from financial dislocations such as the Asian Crisis, the Argentine debt crisis, the stock market declines of 2000-2003 and 2007-2009. I…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 24/01/2020 - 14:46
Last Update: Fri, 24/01/2020 - 17:15
The growing fears over the Virus that has originated in China, are I suspect greatly underestimated.
The evidence that the virus came from a snake that was bought in a Wuhan exotic food…
© David Murrin 2026. All images courtesy of Getty Images. |