The concepts in BTCH explained that the majority of wars are always driven by the need for resources and thus related to the 54-year Kondratiev cycle. The new current…
Global Forecaster
Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events
“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”
Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.
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Geopolitical Forecasts
Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 29/09/2016 - 09:53
Last Update: Thu, 29/09/2016 - 11:24
Human affairs are all about balancing our relationships, both on a personal level and geopolitically between nations. Changes to the equilibrium always have…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 21/09/2016 - 11:09
Last Update: Wed, 21/09/2016 - 13:53
The following series of blogs has been extracted from my recent paper "A new model for Britain's Defence Forces". If you would like a free copy please contact christel…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 26/08/2016 - 10:15
Last Update: Fri, 26/08/2016 - 10:25
Throughout our Brexit commentary we have maintained that the referendum was in effect a civil war of regionalisation, brought about by the innate expansive energy…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 25/08/2016 - 09:00
Last Update: Thu, 25/08/2016 - 09:09
Interestingly, there is no official Olympic medal table and the methodology of how it has been unofficially calculated has varied over recent years. For the 2016…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 24/08/2016 - 09:01
Last Update: Wed, 24/08/2016 - 09:46
In humanity’s ancient past, survival was the key focus; but we are social animals, and fights would have occurred in order to resolve differences between members of a…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 29/07/2016 - 10:49
Last Update: Sat, 30/07/2016 - 10:04
The organisation of human social structures has traditionally been hierarchical. This behaviour extends back to the time of tribal chiefs, kings and emperors. All were…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 27/07/2016 - 13:50
Last Update: Wed, 27/07/2016 - 17:22
When one considers the lightning and decisive change in power following the EU referendum, one can only interpret the shift as a massive affirmation of Britain's…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 30/06/2016 - 13:51
Last Update: Thu, 04/08/2016 - 09:44
So, the all important question is "What happens next?".
Using the methodology within BTCH we would expect the following to unfold…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 29/06/2016 - 14:00
Last Update: Wed, 29/06/2016 - 15:04
The core principle of Breaking the Code of History (BCTH) and the five stages of empire is that the first stage, regionalisation, cannot take place without a core…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 22/06/2016 - 08:28
Last Update: Wed, 22/06/2016 - 08:29
The aftermath
1. There is a point of reflection during this process that is critical to the outcome, and that is how well or badly…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 21/06/2016 - 08:50
Last Update: Tue, 21/06/2016 - 11:32
So, the decision has been made by one party to leave the other. The path is now 50% completed and the agony of indecision over. However, it is now replaced by actions…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 20/06/2016 - 12:14
Last Update: Mon, 20/06/2016 - 12:14
One of the core premises in Breaking the Code of History is that human behaviour is based on a series of fractals. Thus, individual, emotional and behavioural patterns…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 13/06/2016 - 11:18
Last Update: Mon, 13/06/2016 - 12:27
Listening to the recent six-way ITV debate on the Brexit referendum, I thought that it brought into the open the key messages from each side of the debate. On the one…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 26/05/2016 - 09:37
Last Update: Thu, 26/05/2016 - 11:28
There is a powerful scene in Star Wars Episode III where the Chancellor Palpatine, having schemed and plotted to gain control of the galaxy, addresses the Senate of…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 23/05/2016 - 10:13
Like so many dynamics in the world, when it comes to global trading policies there are two polarised approaches.
On the one side,…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 20/05/2016 - 11:49
Last Update: Fri, 20/05/2016 - 11:49
Conventional methods of predicting the future are normally so inaccurate as to be worthless. Thus, any conjecture for the British economy made by our politicians and…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 19/05/2016 - 08:28
Last Update: Thu, 19/05/2016 - 15:38
Polls show that there is still a large group of the electorate that are undecided because the arguments are still not clear to stay or leave. Echoing this confusion,…
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