To the British electorate who voted to remain in the EU, the immediate knee-jerk reaction to Brexit in the form of a drop in the sterling confirmed their worst fears.…
Global Forecaster
Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events
“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”
Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.
Murrination Insights
Geopolitical Forecasts
Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 15/11/2016 - 13:30
Last Update: Tue, 15/11/2016 - 16:43
Using the observation that under the "Make America great again" program, values will regress back up the empire cycle curve, it is easier to understand the context of…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 14/11/2016 - 13:07
Last Update: Mon, 14/11/2016 - 14:32
Obama's policies were derived from the extreme position side of the wealth and power distribution political camp, whilst Trump's views originate from the diametrically…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 11/11/2016 - 11:38
Last Update: Mon, 14/11/2016 - 11:39
One of the core conclusions in Breaking the Code of History is that America, as the last empire of the Super Western Christian Empires entered the last of the Five…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 10/11/2016 - 12:05
Last Update: Fri, 11/11/2016 - 11:09
For those that fear a Trump presidency from an emotional perspective, is it as bad as it feels?
Do you remember when people thought Reagan was brainless and…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 31/10/2016 - 11:23
Last Update: Wed, 02/11/2016 - 09:51
In early 1942, the German battleship Scharnhorst and heavy battlecruiser Gneisenau made a daylight dash up the English Channel, from occupied France to the relative…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 21/10/2016 - 09:23
Last Update: Fri, 21/10/2016 - 12:50
We have been watching Copper closely, as a continuing indicator of commodity price deflation. Overall, we expect the CRB index to drop by a further 50% from current…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 21/10/2016 - 09:12
We have long been negative on the future political integrity of the Euro and expect in all probability that the EU as we know will break up within the next two years.…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 13/10/2016 - 11:16
Last Update: Fri, 14/10/2016 - 09:19
The horrendous events of 9/11 catalysed the ideas in Breaking the Code of History (BTCH) and the Five Stages of Empire Model interpreted 9/11 as the beginning of the…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 10/10/2016 - 12:55
Last Update: Mon, 10/10/2016 - 14:37
The current Sterling crisis which the press claims is due to Brexit is receiving considerable press coverage. Indeed, the sentiment on the future of the Sterling is…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 06/10/2016 - 10:00
Last Update: Fri, 07/10/2016 - 11:29
Although Britain’s Intelligence Services have continued to receive relatively generous funding over the past decade from an absolute spending perspective, it would…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 05/10/2016 - 12:13
Last Update: Thu, 06/10/2016 - 11:14
Breaking the Code of History proposed that predatory nations in expansion behave much like animal predators in that they prefer to attack the weakest prey to limit any…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 04/10/2016 - 08:17
Last Update: Wed, 05/10/2016 - 09:42
Historically, democracies have not been good at anticipating rising aggressor nations and preparing a commensurately strong defence. Furthermore, there is a long-…
Posted by David Murrin on Sun, 02/10/2016 - 16:11
Last Update: Mon, 03/10/2016 - 08:43
Losses due to lack of preparedness at the Somme
As the memory fades of the details and the titanic nature of the struggle associated with both World Wars, today…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 30/09/2016 - 08:59
The concepts in BTCH explained that the majority of wars are always driven by the need for resources and thus related to the 54-year Kondratiev cycle. The new current…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 29/09/2016 - 09:53
Last Update: Thu, 29/09/2016 - 11:24
Human affairs are all about balancing our relationships, both on a personal level and geopolitically between nations. Changes to the equilibrium always have…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 21/09/2016 - 11:09
Last Update: Wed, 21/09/2016 - 13:53
The following series of blogs has been extracted from my recent paper "A new model for Britain's Defence Forces". If you would like a free copy please contact christel…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 26/08/2016 - 10:15
Last Update: Fri, 26/08/2016 - 10:25
Throughout our Brexit commentary we have maintained that the referendum was in effect a civil war of regionalisation, brought about by the innate expansive energy…
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