A well known phrase that captures the process of the ganging up of lesser nations against a larger nation is 'The enemy of my friend is my Enemy'.
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Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events
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Geopolitical Forecasts
Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.
In general we can be sure that, whilst in 2008 Western politicians ensured that the bankers who they had encouraged to leverage the failing growth of the West so that…
The US is the last nation in the system of the Western Christian Empire, and whilst it survives it also helps to keep afloat the European system long after it would…
Old Europe lost its empire after 1950, and the EU is, in effect, a futile attempt to force the regionalisation process without the benefit of powerful demographics…
The deadlock and failure of western governments to lead their countries effectively is a symptom of where these nations are within their empire cycle. In this sequence…
A trend has emerged amongst governments across the western world of responding to the high debt burdens by implementing new strategies to tax the middle and wealthy…
Throughout history individuals and nations have had to decide how to react when threatened by a strong aggressor. Appeasement has been an age-old human strategy which…
As I discuss in The Multi- Polar World, Chapter 5 of Breaking the Code of History, China completed its regionalisation phase in the mid 1990s and has since moved into…
Both the recent events in Mali which have resulted in military intervention by France with British support and at the remote BP installation in Algeria which ended…
The Human Genome Project that mapped mankind's DNA has revolutionised our understanding of genetic diseases. As a natural continuation of this revolution in our…
The recent elections in Israel have shown weakening support for Benjamin Netanyahu and his party. This must be pleasing to President Obama whose relations with the…
The announcement by David Cameron that if the Tories are re-elected in 2015 they will hold a yes no referendum within that term, is a manifestation of the economic…
With a global human population currently totalling some 7 billion and expected to grow by a further 2 billion before 2050, everyone should be concerned about the…
America I have felt for some time that the US equity market has made its high of the year, and that the move to the lows of November were the first part of the…
After 50 years of service and the accolade of being the US Navy’s first nuclear carrier the USS Enterprise was retired in November 2012, leaving only ten carriers in…
As human populations continue to grow, so larger organisational structures will need to be formed as an extension of a higher degree fractal of regionalisation, a…
The process of the regionalisation of Latin America has clearly seen Brazil emerge as the dominant single nation in the region, with some 193 million of a total of 572…
Argentina has a rich history which is closely linked to its European origins and one that defines its very nature. It was the Spanish who first came for the silver,…
There is no doubt that Israel's PM Benjamin Netanyahu believes that the Iranian nuclear programme represents a clear and present danger to Israel, a risk that involves…
In Chapter 5 of BREAKING THE CODE OF HISTORY I discussed the social changes of the American empire over its life span and focused especially on the significance of…
The Western world and Japan has lived with the spectre of nuclear war for over 65 years now. Thankfully the once ever-present danger of annihilation has abated since…
The launch of HMS Dreadnought in 1906 ignited a naval arms race that fueled the route to world war in 1914.
In the Thirties there…
The recent assault on New York by Frankenstorm is a stark and very costly reminder of the power of our planet's weather systems, even if its effects were compounded by…
The Kingdom of Great Britain resulted from the political union of the kingdoms of England and Scotland with the Acts of Union on 1 May 1707 under Queen Anne 305 years…
As I wrote in my previous post on Risks and riots - the European disaster zone, the madness of the European unification process has been demonstrated on a smaller…
Despite the recent escalations in Geoploitical tensions globally the markets have risen over this period, as September was the month that Central Banks announced their…
Africa is described in BREAKING THE CODE OF HISTORY as a continent in the stage of early regionalisation with some 53 nations. The book highlighted that Africa would…
5 September 2012 The force behind the Islamic energy of expansion and resilience is constantly underestimated by the old West. Indeed the front cover of Time magazine…
4 September 2012 Iran’s challenge to Israel and the West was manifested from a nation that was the first Islamic nation to revolt against the western power…
3 September 2012 The Regional Civil war of the Islamic Middle East. This conflict continues to escalate, sucking in more countries into its war zone, with Turkey…
2 September 2012 The European disaster zone. In Europe, despite Mario Draghi’s plan that effectively calmed the markets , the brutal reality of the European Crisis…
1 September 2012 China demonstrated its aggressive expansionist stance specifically against Japan over the Senkaku islands. At its core this incident in which both…
In the following six posts I shall attempt to review as briefly as possible the rash of geopolitical events of early September and their potential market impacts.…
After graduating, I became a seismologist with a company specialising in forming seismic cross-sections used in the search for oil deposits. The company had twenty…
Never was this more apparent than with Winston Churchill. In every way he was a child of the British empire with his family placed right at the heart of the nation in…
At the conclusion of the Third Punic War that finally ended in 146BC with the total destruction of Carthage at the hands of a Roman Army, its leader Scipio Aemilianus…
Question?
Why did the Fed choose to go the unlimited QE route last week, risking opening Pandora’s box with its implications of…









