Global Forecaster

Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events

Murrination Insights

Geopolitical Forecasts

Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.

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Last Update: Thu, 23/01/2025 - 09:49

A well known phrase that captures the process of the ganging up of lesser nations against a larger nation is 'The enemy of my friend is my Enemy'.

Last Update: Wed, 18/12/2013 - 16:18

In general we can be sure that, whilst in 2008 Western politicians ensured that the bankers who they had encouraged to leverage the failing growth of the West so that…

Last Update: Wed, 18/12/2013 - 16:17

The US is the last nation in the system of the Western Christian Empire, and whilst it survives it also helps to keep afloat the European system long after it would…

Last Update: Mon, 23/05/2022 - 17:05

Old Europe lost its empire after 1950, and the EU is, in effect, a futile attempt to force the regionalisation process without the benefit of powerful demographics…

Last Update: Wed, 18/12/2013 - 16:16

The deadlock and failure of western governments to lead their countries effectively is a symptom of where these nations are within their empire cycle. In this sequence…

Last Update: Wed, 18/12/2013 - 16:15

A trend has emerged amongst governments across the western world of responding to the high debt burdens by implementing new strategies to tax the middle and wealthy…

Last Update: Thu, 18/04/2024 - 21:51

Throughout history individuals and nations have had to decide how to react when threatened by a strong aggressor. Appeasement has been an age-old human strategy which…

Last Update: Wed, 18/12/2013 - 16:05

As I discuss in The Multi- Polar World, Chapter 5 of Breaking the Code of History, China completed its regionalisation phase in the mid 1990s and has since moved  into…

Last Update: Wed, 18/12/2013 - 16:05

Both the recent events in Mali which have resulted in military intervention by France with British support and at the remote BP installation in Algeria which ended…

Last Update: Wed, 18/12/2013 - 16:04

The Human Genome Project  that mapped mankind's DNA has revolutionised our understanding of genetic diseases. As a natural continuation of this revolution in our…

Last Update: Wed, 18/12/2013 - 16:03

The recent elections in Israel have shown weakening support for Benjamin Netanyahu and his party. This must be pleasing to President Obama whose relations with the…

Last Update: Wed, 18/12/2013 - 16:03

The announcement by David Cameron that if the Tories are re-elected in 2015 they will hold a yes no referendum within that term, is a manifestation of the economic…

Last Update: Wed, 18/12/2013 - 16:02

With a global human population currently totalling some 7 billion and expected to grow by a further 2 billion before 2050, everyone should be concerned about the…

Last Update: Wed, 18/12/2013 - 16:01

America        I have felt for some time that the US equity market has made its high of the year, and that the move to the lows of November were the first part of the…

Last Update: Wed, 18/12/2013 - 16:00

After 50 years of service and the accolade of being the US Navy’s first nuclear carrier the USS Enterprise was retired in November 2012, leaving only ten carriers in…

Last Update: Wed, 18/12/2013 - 15:55

As human populations continue to grow, so larger organisational structures will need to be formed as an extension of a higher degree fractal of regionalisation, a…

Last Update: Wed, 18/12/2013 - 15:55

The process of the regionalisation of Latin America has clearly seen Brazil emerge as the dominant single nation in the region, with some 193 million of a total of 572…

Last Update: Wed, 18/12/2013 - 15:54

Argentina has a rich history which is closely linked to its European origins and one that defines its very nature. It was the Spanish who first came for the silver,…

Last Update: Wed, 18/12/2013 - 15:53

There is no doubt that Israel's PM Benjamin Netanyahu believes that the Iranian nuclear programme represents a clear and present danger to Israel, a risk that involves…

Last Update: Wed, 18/12/2013 - 15:52

In Chapter 5 of BREAKING THE CODE OF HISTORY I discussed the social changes of the American empire over its life span and focused especially on the significance of…

Last Update: Wed, 18/12/2013 - 15:51

The Western world and Japan has lived with the spectre of nuclear war for over 65 years now. Thankfully the once ever-present danger of annihilation has abated since…

Last Update: Mon, 03/03/2025 - 12:16

The launch of HMS Dreadnought in 1906 ignited a naval arms race that fueled the route to world war in 1914.

In the Thirties there…

Last Update: Wed, 18/12/2013 - 15:37

The recent assault on New York by Frankenstorm is a stark and very costly reminder of the power of our planet's weather systems, even if its effects were compounded by…

Last Update: Wed, 18/12/2013 - 15:36

The Kingdom of Great Britain resulted from the political union of the kingdoms of England and Scotland with the Acts of Union on 1 May 1707 under Queen Anne 305 years…

Last Update: Wed, 18/12/2013 - 15:35

As I wrote in my previous post on Risks and riots - the European disaster zone, the madness of the European unification process has been demonstrated on a smaller…

Last Update: Wed, 18/12/2013 - 15:34

Despite the recent escalations in Geoploitical tensions globally the markets have risen over this period, as September was the month that Central Banks announced their…

Last Update: Wed, 18/12/2013 - 15:30

Africa is described in BREAKING THE CODE OF HISTORY as a continent in the stage of early regionalisation with some 53 nations. The book highlighted that Africa would…

Last Update: Wed, 18/12/2013 - 15:26

5 September 2012 The force behind the Islamic energy of expansion and resilience is constantly underestimated by the old West. Indeed the front cover of Time magazine…

Last Update: Wed, 18/12/2013 - 15:28

4 September 2012 Iran’s challenge to Israel and the West was manifested from a nation that was the first Islamic nation to revolt against the western power…

Last Update: Wed, 18/12/2013 - 15:22

3 September 2012 The Regional Civil war of the Islamic Middle East.  This conflict continues to escalate, sucking in more countries into its war zone, with Turkey…

Last Update: Wed, 18/12/2013 - 15:21

2 September 2012 The European disaster zone.  In Europe, despite Mario Draghi’s plan that effectively calmed  the markets , the brutal reality of the European Crisis…

Last Update: Wed, 18/12/2013 - 15:19

1 September 2012 China demonstrated its aggressive expansionist stance specifically against Japan over the Senkaku islands. At its core this incident in which both…

Last Update: Wed, 18/12/2013 - 15:18

In the following six posts I shall attempt to review as briefly as possible the rash of geopolitical events of early September and their potential market impacts.…

Last Update: Wed, 18/12/2013 - 15:17

After graduating, I became a seismologist with a company specialising in forming seismic cross-sections used in the search for oil deposits. The company had twenty…

Last Update: Wed, 18/12/2013 - 15:12

Never was this more apparent than with Winston Churchill. In every way he was a child of the British empire with his family placed right at the heart of the nation in…

Last Update: Wed, 18/12/2013 - 15:09

At the conclusion of the Third Punic War that finally ended in 146BC with the total destruction of Carthage at the hands of a Roman Army, its leader Scipio Aemilianus…

Last Update: Wed, 18/12/2013 - 15:08

Question?

Why did the Fed choose to go the unlimited QE route last week, risking opening Pandora’s  box with its implications of…