The concept of "total war", as articulated by Carl von Clausewitz in his seminal work On War, refers to a form of warfare that mobilises all available resources of a nation—economic…
Global Forecaster
Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events
“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”
Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.
Murrination Insights
Geopolitical Forecasts
Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 27/08/2024 - 08:00
Last Update: Tue, 28/04/2026 - 22:25
Introduction
Having observed Chinese expansion closely for two decades, I believe that Xi and his upper echelons have been following a long-term strategy to challenge and destroy American…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 22/08/2024 - 08:00
Last Update: Thu, 23/10/2025 - 06:14
Introduction
In early January 2024, we made this prediction in Red Peril 30; Ten Reasons Why Xi Will Go To War In 2024. Eight months later, in this new Murrination, we will re-examine why I…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 21/08/2024 - 09:00
Last Update: Wed, 10/09/2025 - 14:13
War blind is a new term I have coined for those in the Western world who refuse to see the extreme danger we face from all-out WW3 with the Axis of Autocracy. The degree of their war blindness is…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 15/08/2024 - 08:00
Last Update: Thu, 15/08/2024 - 10:37
The government rightly remains on ‘high alert’ for the risk of more violence across the country. But does Starmer really understand what is unfolding on his watch? He was certainly quick to blame…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 12/08/2024 - 08:00
Last Update: Thu, 05/02/2026 - 10:13
Introduction
As CIO of Emergent in 2001, I identified the beginning of a new 26-year K-wave cycle that would breathe new life into the moribund commodities sector. That observation defined our…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 07/08/2024 - 20:30
Last Update: Mon, 23/09/2024 - 15:09
One of the clear market dynamics that we use in our market pattern recognition system is the rule of alternation. Put simply, it means that after any market has seen an impulsive move followed by…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 06/08/2024 - 08:00
Last Update: Wed, 23/10/2024 - 07:09
We predict that Starmer's government will be a wartime government, meaning that all other policy decisions will be eclipsed by those that Labour takes in the defence of the nation during this…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 01/08/2024 - 08:00
Last Update: Mon, 04/05/2026 - 14:02
Introduction
Before Brexit, the UK was part of the EU and adhered to the principle of freedom of movement, allowing EU citizens to live and work in the UK without restrictions. Post-Brexit, the…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 30/07/2024 - 08:00
Last Update: Sun, 06/07/2025 - 10:22
First, let's start with the good news - Sir Keir Starmer has said his government will be one of “service” in his first address to the nation as prime minister. Speaking outside Number 10 Downing…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 25/07/2024 - 08:00
Last Update: Sun, 16/11/2025 - 08:25
Introduction
There are significant trends that we witnessed during the recent election that will shape our political future. In this Murrination we will look to extrapolate forward:
1.0 'Not…Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 22/07/2024 - 14:30
Last Update: Wed, 30/04/2025 - 12:46
In our Murrination predictions for 2024 – The Year To Stay Under Cover | David Murrin we made the below prediction that neither Trump nor Biden would be the next president of America. The first 50…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 12/07/2024 - 08:00
Last Update: Sun, 10/05/2026 - 09:07
Introduction
Now that the dust has settled from The Most Delusional Election In British History, in this series of Murrinations, we begin to predict what Starmer's Britain will look like. But…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 08/07/2024 - 08:00
Last Update: Thu, 11/07/2024 - 10:57
The new army chief, General Sir Roly Walker, has ambitious plans to strengthen the country’s military by doubling its lethality. Correctly, Gen Walker, a former member of the SAS, believes that “…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 04/07/2024 - 08:00
Last Update: Mon, 15/12/2025 - 11:40
Introduction
France is undergoing a massive shift to the far right, along with many European nations. Of course, understanding exactly what the far right stands for is at times challenging.…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 03/07/2024 - 13:00
Last Update: Sat, 22/11/2025 - 12:44
Introduction
We predicted the day that Sunak called his election, that he was the turkey that voted for Christmas. An outcome which has now come to pass, ending a very sordid chapter in British…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 03/07/2024 - 08:00
Last Update: Sun, 07/07/2024 - 09:05
The rise of the far right parties across the West has been spawned in the crucible of two decades of the failed liberal politics of wealth distribution and decline. They are a direct response to…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 02/07/2024 - 08:00
Last Update: Tue, 06/08/2024 - 15:22
In Breaking the Code of History, published in 2009, we made many very specific predictions as to the nature of the decline in American military power. The below is directly quoted from the book.…
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