In the context of today's Chinese leading global arms race, hypersonic weapons represent a true revolution in military affairs. Indeed, as we have pointed out numerous times, the…
Global Forecaster
Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events
“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”
Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.
Murrination Insights
Geopolitical Forecasts
Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.
Posted by David Murrin on Sun, 06/10/2024 - 19:20
Last Update: Thu, 27/02/2025 - 13:21
1.0 - We have been here before!
To ensure that you are focused and understand the events unfolding in the Middle East, we recommend re-reading War American War Blindness; Part 1 to ensure that…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 02/10/2024 - 11:45
Last Update: Sat, 16/11/2024 - 12:55
Iran’s war against Israel, which started on 7th October 2023, has now escalated into an all-out regional war. It is a product of Iran’s aggressive expansionism that has vowed to destroy Israel,…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 02/10/2024 - 08:00
Last Update: Thu, 03/07/2025 - 11:58
The attritional war in Ukraine is approaching a potential watershed moment, both on the battlefield and with respect to the support provided by America and Europe. The dire reality of American…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 26/09/2024 - 08:00
Last Update: Sat, 29/11/2025 - 12:08
1.0 - Britain's empire cycle since 1980
From 2011 onwards, based on our empire cycle analysis, I placed the UK in a new phase of regional expansion that started with the Thatcher years, a…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 24/09/2024 - 09:45
Last Update: Thu, 27/02/2025 - 13:18
Why is the West's future highly dependent on Ukraine and Israel being victorious against their Russian and Iranian protagonists?
To reach the answer, we must all step back from our…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 23/09/2024 - 15:15
Last Update: Mon, 01/06/2026 - 07:56
Introduction
Lebanon is once more a major battle zone in the Middle East. In this Murrination, we seek to assess the course of this campaign within the larger context of Iran's war on Israel. …
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 19/09/2024 - 08:00
Last Update: Thu, 11/06/2026 - 09:18
Introduction
The current crop of British politicians is collectively unimpressive, but when the Labour Party is measured against the average MPs' capabilities over the past ten years (which, let'…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 18/09/2024 - 08:00
Last Update: Thu, 27/02/2025 - 13:20
For those who have studied history, appeasement is an unpleasant and derogatory term that most probably believe has been consigned to the history books. However, a disastrous foreign policy…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 17/09/2024 - 08:00
Last Update: Wed, 27/05/2026 - 10:11
Introduction
For well over a decade I have consistently argued that Obama laid down the foundations of the decline of American global hard power and influence, allowing China to rise as he slept…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 12/09/2024 - 08:00
Last Update: Thu, 17/10/2024 - 13:37
Following on from The Next US President Part 1; Biden's End we predict that Harris will be the next US president. In our Murrination predictions for 2024 – The Year To Stay Under Cover | David…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 10/09/2024 - 08:00
Last Update: Mon, 16/02/2026 - 19:29
Introduction
Our persistent warnings over the past four years about a Chinese super Pearl Harbour - based on mass saturation attacks - are now reaching the mainstream. These warnings have been…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 05/09/2024 - 08:00
Last Update: Sat, 18/10/2025 - 06:46
Introduction
The clearest manifestation of China's expansive military intentions can be seen in the growth of its navy, which we argue is integral to the execution of China's Grand Plan. This…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 03/09/2024 - 08:00
Last Update: Fri, 08/05/2026 - 07:41
Introduction
For China's envisaged war plan against America to work, it needs to build up the ability to resource its people and wartime industrial economy based on a sphere of influence that…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 29/08/2024 - 08:00
Last Update: Mon, 04/05/2026 - 13:51
Introduction
The concept of "total war", as articulated by Carl von Clausewitz in his seminal work On War, refers to a form of warfare that mobilises all available resources of a nation—economic…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 27/08/2024 - 08:00
Last Update: Tue, 28/04/2026 - 22:25
Introduction
Having observed Chinese expansion closely for two decades, I believe that Xi and his upper echelons have been following a long-term strategy to challenge and destroy American…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 22/08/2024 - 08:00
Last Update: Thu, 23/10/2025 - 06:14
Introduction
In early January 2024, we made this prediction in Red Peril 30; Ten Reasons Why Xi Will Go To War In 2024. Eight months later, in this new Murrination, we will re-examine why I…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 21/08/2024 - 09:00
Last Update: Wed, 10/09/2025 - 14:13
War blind is a new term I have coined for those in the Western world who refuse to see the extreme danger we face from all-out WW3 with the Axis of Autocracy. The degree of their war blindness is…
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