Global Forecaster

Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events

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“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”

Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.

Murrination Insights

Geopolitical Forecasts

Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.

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Last Update: Wed, 07/05/2014 - 13:21

The rising Islamic world's first impulse was to lash out and resist interference from its historic Christian enemy in the West by exporting terrorism into its…

Last Update: Wed, 07/05/2014 - 10:55

Human affairs are all about balance in our relationships, both on the personal level and geopolitically between nations. Changes to the equilibrium always have…

I am a great fan of film, not only because I find the visual experience entertaining, but because films represent the collective cultural values of a society.

Last Update: Mon, 28/04/2014 - 11:58

In a time when combat between men took place with edged weapons in the majority of situations, the strongest, fittest, fastest and most skilful would have won or…

Last Update: Thu, 10/04/2014 - 13:51

So whilst the Western world fixates on the location of a black box, Putin is unleashing his next performance, fermenting unrest in Eastern Ukraine.

The generally held perception that global warming is a linear process is one only held by non-scientists. I have repeatedly pointed out that the present apparent pause…

Last Update: Fri, 28/03/2014 - 10:32

David was live on CNBC yesterday morning for the Worldwide Exchange programme at 09:00.

David says that events in Ukraine reveal the "decline of the West" and the power vacuum left by the U…

Yesterday the Chancellor set the scene for his speech stating that, 'If you're a maker, a doer or a saver: this budget is for you.' The statement begs closer…

Last Update: Wed, 19/03/2014 - 11:21

Why is it that human societies assume a linear projection of events from any point now into the future?
It would seem that we have a collective blind-spot to…

Last Update: Mon, 17/03/2014 - 11:04

The Indian elections on 7th April will be a watershed moment for the region and possibly the world. As discussed in BTCH, India and the pan Islamic system are both in…

Last Update: Fri, 14/03/2014 - 10:35

The US National Debt was some 5795 billion dollars at the end of December 2013, of which 22% is currently held by China and 20% by Japan. A further 9% is owned…

Last Update: Sat, 08/03/2014 - 14:34

As predicted, Crimea will now be de facto annexed, whilst the world should expect Putin's next step will be to orchestrate a similar referendum for eastern Ukraine to join Russia.

Meanwhile…

Last Update: Thu, 06/03/2014 - 13:32

13. Can a war be fought too long to have a negotiated settlement?.'

Wars are like forest fires, which only burn themselves out when they run out of fuel.…

Last Update: Wed, 05/03/2014 - 16:48

Today I continue my review of Nails Ferguson's misconceptions.

9. 'Britain’s involvement in the war caused mobility to give way to…

Last Update: Tue, 04/03/2014 - 16:48

I am firmly of the belief that history is to be studied in order to  understand the essence of man’s collective social decisions so that we can learn vital lessons…

Last Update: Mon, 03/03/2014 - 14:43

So Putin has rather predictably called Obama's bluff, having made the correct assessment that Obama is a man of straw, and deployed his armed forces into the Crimea…

Last Update: Fri, 28/02/2014 - 12:20

Putin’s vision of rebuilding the USSR is one he holds very strongly and one that he has worked hard to craft since his arrival in power. His campaign has accelerated…

Last Update: Mon, 17/02/2014 - 12:05

On August 29th 2005 Hurricane Katrina hit New Orleans and its resultant storm surge breached the neglected  flood defences in 50 places. Two days later 80% of the city…