Global Forecaster has been bullish on gold since the $1,650 low in October 2022. Since then, the price has nearly doubled, and we believe its ultimate target is $10,000 by the 2030…
Global Forecaster
Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events
“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”
Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.
Murrination Insights
Geopolitical Forecasts
Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 15/05/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Tue, 08/07/2025 - 16:14
Introduction
In our Theory of the Five Stages of Empire, we describe the rise of a system as being driven by a spirit of collective purpose over individual self-interest. While its decline is…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 13/05/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Sat, 25/04/2026 - 07:14
Introduction
The age of the battleship came to a close as advancements in military technology extended the effective range of combat far beyond the line-of-sight engagements that once defined…
Posted by David Murrin on Mon, 12/05/2025 - 11:45
Last Update: Tue, 05/05/2026 - 20:24
Introduction
In the very week the Western world marked the 80th anniversary of the end of the Second World War, we were starkly reminded of our Failure to honour the Hard Lessons of VE Day. Chief…
Posted by David Murrin on Sat, 10/05/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Sun, 18/01/2026 - 08:59
Introduction
The U.S.–UK trade agreement, known as the U.S.-UK Economic Prosperity Deal (EPD), is undoubtedly a milestone, though not quite in the way Keir Starmer might present it. A closer…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 08/05/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Tue, 08/07/2025 - 16:15
Introduction
Trump is almost self-absorbed, and his trade wars have made him the central focus on the world stage, providing endless narcissistic supply to his messianic ego. However, in his self…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 07/05/2025 - 13:00
Last Update: Tue, 05/05/2026 - 20:24
Introduction
The unfolding conflict between India and Pakistan is a severe manifestation of the increasing entropy within the K-wave cycle heading into 2030. It involves two nations, both in…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 07/05/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Tue, 08/07/2025 - 16:16
1.0 Our Unlearned Lesson
On Thursday, the UK and other Allied nations will commemorate the 80th anniversary of VE Day (Victory in Europe Day)—marking the moment, on May 8, 1945, when Nazi Germany…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 06/05/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Fri, 08/05/2026 - 23:02
Introduction
One of my core theories applied to this decade's geopolitical dynamic is the pronounced shift to the right in Western politics. However, as we outlined in The Essential Principles of…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 02/05/2025 - 12:00
Last Update: Tue, 08/07/2025 - 16:18
Introduction
Trump’s ‘Historic’ Meeting with Zelensky at the Pope’s Funeral Marks a Watershed Moment in the Ukraine War. As Trump’s unexpected and symbolically powerful meeting with Zelensky at…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 02/05/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Sun, 15/02/2026 - 14:12
Introduction
Trump promised that peace in 24 hours would be easy to negotiate based on his deluded view of the world. Meanwhile, GF predicted that we would only see escalation of the conflict,…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 30/04/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Sat, 13/12/2025 - 07:41
Introduction
During World War II, escort carriers (designated CVEs) became indispensable workhorses that played an outsized role in protecting Allied convoys and in shaping the decisive North…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 29/04/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Mon, 19/01/2026 - 17:36
24 Xi Jinping: The Chinese Emperor
Xi Jinping wields incredible power, which should be analysed through the lens of narcissistic personality traits, which influence his leadership style and…
Posted by David Murrin on Fri, 25/04/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Tue, 05/05/2026 - 16:12
Introduction
The air war over Ukraine has become a testing ground for a deadly form of long-range air-to-air sniping. Russian MiG-31s, equipped with Cold War–era R-37M missiles, can launch lethal…
Posted by David Murrin on Thu, 24/04/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Tue, 08/07/2025 - 16:22
Introduction
Following on from Trump 12; The Zelensky Ambush; Peace or the Path to WW3?, Trump’s strategy in Ukraine has taken on the character of coercive expropriation — a superpower muscling a…
Posted by David Murrin on Tue, 22/04/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Thu, 24/04/2025 - 07:23
In our Murrination, Trump The Betrayer we highlighted what Putin has been doing, but the big question remains: how does he control Trump? We suspect that Kompromat played a role at the beginning…
Posted by David Murrin on Sun, 20/04/2025 - 08:00
Last Update: Mon, 21/04/2025 - 09:27
The boundaries between fiction and foresight blur intriguingly in the works of David Murrin and the concept of psychohistory, introduced by Isaac Asimov through his character Hari Seldon. Though…
Posted by David Murrin on Wed, 16/04/2025 - 10:15
Last Update: Sat, 25/04/2026 - 12:32
Introduction
For over a decade, I have warned that allowing a strategic competitor like China to own critical parts of Britain’s—and the wider West’s—infrastructure was nothing short of…
© David Murrin 2026. All images courtesy of Getty Images. |