Global Forecaster

Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events

Murrination Insights

Geopolitical Forecasts

Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.

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Last Update: Fri, 14/01/2022 - 08:37

Lord Frost’s resignation as one of the most effective and competent ministers of Johnson's government is the final nail in Johnson's political coffin, much as Geoffrey…

Last Update: Fri, 17/12/2021 - 16:10

7.0 Infiltration Met By Courage

The CCP has infiltrated all of our Western international organisations, just as they did the WHO, which only became apparent…

Last Update: Thu, 16/12/2021 - 13:44

We have written many Murrinations on the threat posed by the hegemonic challenge of China and wanted to summarise for our readers the key points as to why we, in America and all the free…

Last Update: Mon, 09/03/2026 - 15:57
Introduction

COP-26 ended in a predictable failure to make any meaningful ingress against climate change, despite the heroic efforts of the conference chairman MP Alok…

Last Update: Mon, 09/03/2026 - 10:36
Introduction

Following our recent Murrinations Insight, Omicron – Darkest Before The Dawn, a review of the COVID statistics shows that the testing rate remains constant…

Last Update: Wed, 15/12/2021 - 08:33

The Brexit civil war was a historic moment for both Britain and mankind because the energy of regional civil war is one of the most powerful social dynamics within the lifecycle of a human system…

Last Update: Mon, 09/03/2026 - 16:25
Introduction

Brexit was not an error or momentary mistake driven by populism or made by thoughtless, maverick Brexiteers. Rather, it was the product of a predictable…

Last Update: Wed, 08/12/2021 - 09:45

Global Forecaster has always maintained that Brexit would have far-reaching consequences not only for the UK and then the EU, but for the whole of the Western Christian…

Last Update: Tue, 07/12/2021 - 23:27

 

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Our Vision Global Britain 2025 campaign harnesses the predictive power of the second stage of the Five…

Last Update: Mon, 06/12/2021 - 10:08

For an empire in a challenging state of hegemony such as China today, expansionism is a state of being that it exudes in every aspect of its relations with neighbours and competitors alike. The…

On 5th January 2020, Global Forecaster warned that a weapons-grade virus was making its way from Wuhan, which would engulf the world in a major pandemic. At the time, 99.9% of both the leaders and…

Last Update: Sat, 04/12/2021 - 07:23

 4.0 The Age Of The Doomsday Bubble

Today, we are living in the time of the biggest market bubble in financial history. So the topic of bubbles and understanding them is of critical…

Last Update: Thu, 02/12/2021 - 16:06

One of Global Forecaster’s Mission Statements is to confront and expose malign and destructive energy wherever it may manifest itself in human systems. Our objective is to raise awareness of the…

3.0  The Efficient Market Hypothesis And Roman Rectangular Dice

In Ancient Greece, scientists of old used to come up with a theory and then do a host of…

Last Update: Tue, 30/12/2025 - 11:07

Introduction

The Five Stages of Empire model is based on a self-organising human system in which leaders express the collective needs…

2.0  The Collective Super-Organism Of Humanity

The product of our human hardwiring is that collective human behaviour dominates mankind's actions, making us, in…

Last Update: Mon, 09/03/2026 - 16:12
Introduction

The emergence of new COVID-19 variants and the differing regional responses to the pandemic have continued to influence public health policy and economic…

Last Update: Tue, 30/12/2025 - 11:26

1.0 Consciousness Or Catastrophe?

Global Forecaster has described this decade as the moment of consciousness or catastrophe for humanity. It is a decade…

Last Update: Mon, 13/12/2021 - 12:15

Today is the official launch of our Confront China Campaign. Please take the time to read our Thesis and action plan and then spread the word to your friends and…

Last Update: Tue, 10/03/2026 - 08:04
Introduction

The following is based on our Five Stages of Empire cycle and our study of what happened to past empires in terminal decline, when their pillars of state…

Last Update: Tue, 10/03/2026 - 07:14
Introduction

The Decline of Hegemonic Leadership

When hegemony declines, so does the quality of its leaders. Without exception, the vacuum created ushers in a period of major conflict, as…

Last Update: Tue, 10/03/2026 - 07:56
Introduction

The death of 85-year-old Frederik Willem de Klerk, on 11th November 2021, the last President of South Africa under apartheid, raises many ghosts. We have…

Last Update: Sat, 01/01/2022 - 11:06

When Joe Biden became President, we made a bold prediction that he would not survive in office longer than 18 months; based on his obvious symptoms of early-stage dementia that were apparent…

Last Update: Tue, 10/03/2026 - 09:00
Introduction

Now if that title sounds confusing, I do understand! However, there is logic behind it that explains why wars have been an enduring and yet a dark but so-far essential unconscious…

Last Update: Mon, 29/12/2025 - 19:21

Introduction

Human collective behaviour is hard-wired into each of our nervous systems. Whilst autocracies minimise these herd…

Stalin supplied Hitler with all the commodities he wanted for his war efforts in the West, after he signed the Molotov–Ribbentrop non-aggression pact in 1939, hoping to buy time to build up his…

Last Update: Tue, 23/11/2021 - 12:34

The Chinese PLAN have built in the North-Western Taklamakan desert, a full-scale moving on rails, target mock up of the latest USN carrier the USS Gerald Ford, along with two full-sized escort…

7.1  Every Expansive Power Makes War
Having digested our short summary of 120 years of warfare over the past week, there should be one pattern that is etched on your mind, that every nation…

Last Update: Sun, 28/12/2025 - 10:59

Introduction

The Cold War, which lasted 45 years, from 1945 to 1990, was the first time there was a hegemonic challenger in the age of nuclear weapons. These were weapons, if used in an…

Last Update: Tue, 10/03/2026 - 09:03
Introduction

The destruction wrought during WWI had shocked the combatants to their very cores. However, WWII was to exceed all nightmares. To understand how the world…

Last Update: Wed, 11/03/2026 - 08:47
Introduction

Whilst we recognise that this section is longer than a normal Murrination, we urge our readers to complete the article. WWI was the worst war ever seen in history and, as such, is…

Last Update: Sat, 06/11/2021 - 12:42

3.1 Twentieth-Century Industrial Wars Of Expansion

The twentieth-century marked a new stage in the harnessing of industrial power into the ability to…

Last Update: Sun, 28/12/2025 - 10:29
Introduction

Global Forecaster continues to argue that we have already built an inevitable 11-degree-plus temperature change into our environment, which is catastrophic…

Last Update: Sat, 06/11/2021 - 12:41

2.1 Wars Are Not Equal

Before we can choose a new, conscious mechanism that does not include warfare to drive our evolution as a race…

Last Update: Thu, 09/05/2024 - 10:25

Our analysis of the reality and severity of climate change and its profound impact on our habitat on Earth was covered in a specific chapter of Breaking the Code of History. That thesis was…

Last Update: Sun, 28/12/2025 - 10:33
Introduction

The chapter on climate change in Breaking The Code of History is as perfectly applicable today as it was 15 years ago when it was written. At the time, the debate over whether…

Last Update: Sat, 06/11/2021 - 16:27

1.0 Never Forget!

On 11th November, at the eleventh hour, we in Britain, Europe and America remember the sound of silence, as the guns fell quiet on the Western…

Last Update: Sun, 31/10/2021 - 15:39

To better understand the polices that Global Britain needs to thrive in the years ahead, we need to appreciate what a system like Global Britain requires, based on our Five Stages of Empire model…

Last Update: Thu, 09/03/2023 - 08:11

3.1 Johnson’s Reluctance To Call China Out
PM Boris Johnson has, since the start of his tenure, refused to recognise the Chinese threat with any political gusto. First, there was his…

Last Update: Mon, 22/11/2021 - 11:30

2.1  Joe Biden And His Son, Hunter
US President Joe Biden and his son, Hunter, are very close. According to information gained by the New York Post, Hunter ‘…

1.1 Overt And Covert CCP Strategies
Strategic competition and warfare manifest overtly; however, behind the scenes, there is always a covert element that goes unseen and is often unrecorded…

Last Update: Wed, 11/03/2026 - 08:57
Introduction

Money printing is an anti-entropic intervention that artificially suppresses the economy's natural corrective forces. By masking falling productivity and sustaining leveraged growth…

Last Update: Wed, 11/03/2026 - 09:01
Introduction

How does America — and by extension the UK — lose an arms race with China?

By continuing to follow the same slow, bureaucratic, legacy-bound defence strategies while Beijing…

Last Update: Wed, 11/03/2026 - 10:53
Introduction

The responsibility for changing the almost terminal path to disaster now rests with Sir Tony Radakin. This process can only start with Radakin first escaping the Whitehall groupthink…

The disastrous 2015 Cameron Defence Review that scheduled a sequence of cuts that would cripple the Armed Forces, was a step too far for one of the three services. The Navy broke ranks with the…

Last Update: Mon, 18/10/2021 - 15:00

In the run-up to 1914, despite being in a Dreadnought race, Britain neglected the size of its army and spent on a five year average only 3% of GDP on defence. Britain…

This Murrination Insight contains information that is normally reserved for our subscribers to our Arkent Scenarios and Market Analysis. However, the topic of resource competition and its…

Last Update: Wed, 11/03/2026 - 10:54
Introduction

During the pandemic, each country reacted differently, depending on the nature of its leaders and national cultural values. Learning from the lessons of…

Last Update: Wed, 11/03/2026 - 12:14
Introduction

Boris Johnson has done a brilliant job of sharing his vision for Global Britain through the Brexit process, transforming its mindset from a continental adjunct to the EU to the…

Last Update: Wed, 11/03/2026 - 11:16
Introduction

With the clear and present danger to Global Britain from Russia and China, the public needs to understand the threat and to demand that their Prime Minister and cabinet members be…

Last Update: Fri, 03/11/2023 - 11:26

Throughout the COVID-19 pandemic, we have been highly critical of the UK’s (and any other nation's) policy of lockdown interventions.

Our opposition was based on the inaccuracy of the…

Last Update: Tue, 12/10/2021 - 15:51

Throughout history, individuals and nations have had to decide how to react when threatened by a strong aggressor. Appeasement has been an age-old human strategy which some have chosen to adopt in…

Last Update: Sun, 28/12/2025 - 09:27
Introduction

In our last Murrination Insight, we asked the key question: why has America and the West been so slow to respond to the expansion and aggression of Xi's China? Human collective…

Last Update: Fri, 18/02/2022 - 10:17

The time is swiftly approaching when China, led by Xi’s expansive agenda, shifts gear from its covert strategy to challenge American hegemony that dates back to 1996 to one of direct, overt action…

Last Update: Sat, 27/12/2025 - 22:47
Introduction

Now for something slightly different! One of our inputs into our analysis of the state of the nations is cultural trends, and especially the correlation between films, social mood…

Last Update: Sun, 03/10/2021 - 10:58

This is one of the shortest Murrinations that you will read! Further to our posts BOOM - The Doomsday Bubble Is Now Bursting and The Risk-Off Tsunami Is Upon Us, the evidence continues to build…

Last Update: Wed, 11/03/2026 - 11:18
Introduction

In a post-COVID and Brexit world, in which energy inflation is rising and where we spend an hour a day trying to fill our petrol tanks to get to work, it…

Last Update: Wed, 11/03/2026 - 12:21
Introduction

The role of NATO in European security has evolved since the end of the Cold War, particularly as new geopolitical tensions have emerged. Renewed Russian military activity and…

Last Update: Wed, 11/03/2026 - 17:08
Introduction

There are many politicians and investors in the West who have been enticed to invest in China by the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). In so doing, they…

Last Update: Mon, 09/02/2026 - 13:30
Introduction

The AUKUS Treaty is a significant step forward in manifesting the new Global Britain, and UK PM Boris Johnson has played a blinding hand.…

Last Update: Wed, 11/03/2026 - 12:27
Introduction

History is replete with events that changed the course of history. The Wuhan pandemic is one such event, the repercussions of which will echo throughout eternity. We will inevitably…

Last Update: Thu, 23/09/2021 - 11:24

In recent years, we have highlighted that Boris Johnson PM was the only politician and now leader who expounded the values that were commensurate with Britain entering the second phase of…

Last Update: Thu, 04/11/2021 - 20:29

In August 2021, we warned that the Global Financial Tsunami was finally approaching, as we moved into Phase 3 of the Arkent Road Map. The past two months in the markets have seen a low-volatility…

Last Update: Tue, 14/06/2022 - 11:02

UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson has done a brilliant job of sharing his vision for Global Britain through the Brexit process. In so doing, he transformed the nation’s mindset from a continental…

Last Update: Sun, 10/10/2021 - 19:51

As we predicted and feared, Biden’s retreat from Afghanistan has encouraged a wave of Chinese aggression that is now building ahead of steam.

First, there were the new rules of exclusion…
Last Update: Wed, 11/03/2026 - 17:20
Introduction

Western policy towards North Korea and Kim Jong Un’s regime continues to fail to understand that it is a puppet of Chinese Communist Party (CCP) strategic policy. The country is…

Last Update: Thu, 12/03/2026 - 11:56
Introduction

The defeat and retreat from Afghanistan marks the end of Pax America. It is a geopolitical event of such magnitude that it will cause major tremors for years to come. With America in…

Last Update: Thu, 16/05/2024 - 10:16

We have long been warning that Western weakness would encourage Xi and Putin’s increased aggression. Proof of the validity of our concerns has come swiftly post the retreat from Kabul.

Xi…

Last Update: Thu, 12/03/2026 - 12:02
Introduction

The U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan and wider geopolitical developments have raised questions about American leadership, alliance stability and the future balance of global power.…

Last Update: Thu, 04/11/2021 - 20:48

The American retreat from Kabul counts as the worst defeat in modern American history; inflicted not by a more powerful or smarter enemy, but rather by the command of a deluded and belligerent…

Last Update: Thu, 04/11/2021 - 10:26

China's ambitions to become the new global hegemony are now clear to all, and are very well developed with respect to the expansion of its Navy and tactical missile…

Last Update: Tue, 17/03/2026 - 10:20
Introduction

The current American-Russian strategic nuclear balance is, in most respects, a legacy of the Cold War weapon development program. However, Putin's Russia…