Global Forecaster

Understanding past cycles to predict future geopolitical and market events

play button

“David is one of the best and most innovative geo-strategic thinkers I know. His understanding of past and current wars, and the weapons and strategies used to shape their outcomes, is profound. This has enabled him to make a series of remarkably prescient predictions about the new age of war, that unfortunately are coming true in front of our eyes. Our political and military leaders would greatly benefit from drawing on his knowledge and insight to help them navigate through these perilous times.”

Field Marshal Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, General Richards GCB, CBE, DSO, DL formerly The Chief of the Defence Staff, the professional head of the British Armed Forces.

Murrination Insights

Geopolitical Forecasts

Murrinations Insights will help you future-proof your world with investment-grade analysis, predictions and strategies, to help you anticipate future events. Based on a global model that integrates significant geopolitical, military, economic, financial market and environmental developments.

Why our subscribers follow David?FAQsSubscribe

Last Update: Tue, 31/03/2026 - 11:19
Introduction

Over the past decades, we have watched China describe its strategic view of the first, second, and third island chains as its 'defensive rings' which form the basis for its national…

Last Update: Fri, 02/05/2025 - 08:56

It is a Global Forecaster tradition to name each year in line with our expectations of how it might unfold, e.g. 2023 - The Year To Take Cover, 2024 - The Year To Stay Under Cover, and now 2025 -…

Last Update: Tue, 05/05/2026 - 09:53
Introduction

Two decades ago, I warned that China had moved from a phase of copying and assimilating to one of out-innovating America, as described in Another Prediction Proven Correct—1: Chinese…

Last Update: Wed, 08/01/2025 - 18:15

Going back to Alexander the Great's first principle of war, he believed in the criticality of the Unity of Command, a centralised command structure with clear leadership provided by himself. His…

Last Update: Mon, 01/12/2025 - 08:12
Preamble

UFOs, UAPs, and the Age of Disclosure: A New Perspective For many, UFOs, now officially termed UAPs (Unidentified Aerial Phenomena), have long been dismissed as fringe or speculative.…

Last Update: Mon, 02/02/2026 - 08:14

We have long argued that Bitcoin's and the crypto market's growth is a market bubble occurring in the context of the decline of the US dollar. Furthermore, the end of the bubble would come when…

The new age of industrial war, emerging in the 19th and early 20th centuries, fundamentally transformed the nature of warfare by harnessing mass production, mechanisation, and technological…

Last Update: Wed, 10/12/2025 - 18:12
Introduction

Moving beyond the question of whether UAPs exist—a debate that has now shifted decisively into a state of acceptance—we must turn our attention to the next, and far more profound,…

The British Empire’s rise and dominance were largely built on maritime supremacy, establishing the nation as a formidable global power from the 17th to the early 20th century. Britain’s naval…

In this series, we will be looking at the art of war though the ages, using this study to create a modern war-fighting strategy that NATO and the West could use to combat China and its Axis of…

Last Update: Thu, 27/02/2025 - 13:22

Today, the UK defence forces are small, underequipped and need rapid expansion with new combat technology. This situation is similar to the run-up of WW2, and the potential solution today should…

Last Update: Thu, 27/02/2025 - 13:22

The Hamas attack on October 7th last year triggered a chain of events still unfolding across the Middle East with the fall of Assad emerging as a key development. Today, Syria's predicament…

Last Update: Mon, 04/05/2026 - 07:49
Introduction

Human collective systems follow identifiable patterns to maximise anti-entropy along their stage empire/life cycle. Breaking down and identifying those behaviours is one of Global…

Last Update: Tue, 10/12/2024 - 10:10

The evolution of warfare in Ancient Greek works was fascinatingly mirrored simultaneously in the Ancient Chinese world, which saw profound changes to the strategy and evolution of warfare. In…

In this Murrination series, we will examine some of the lessons from the decline of the British Empire that our Five Stages of Empire highlight as relevant to the decline of the American Empire…

Last Update: Thu, 12/02/2026 - 12:37
Introduction

The current Labour government in the UK, led by Keir Starmer, is not considered Marxist. The public-facing story is that, after the Labour Party's defeat in the 2019 general election…

Global Forecaster has long argued that WW3 started with the invasion of Ukraine, but until recently, many sought to refute the bleeding obvious as they fell under the spell of War Blindness.…

The Art Of Strategy is a matter of life and death to all nations in times of entropy. Yet today, in the West, we collectively have lost this critical way of thinking that could ensure our very…