Murrination Insights

First we had Trumps Friday fiscal stimulus and today the 100 BP Fed cut. However, all the market could do was go down?

Obviously there is nothing left in the armoury to combat the…

1.0 A Critical Point in Human History

I fear that historians will look back on 2020 and mark the time before the Wuhan pandemic and the time afterwards as a watershed in global human…

We have been tracking the progression of the impending market Collapse and the Wuhan Virus. We are now at the point of impact when the effects of the virus touch everyone and the reality of the …

The sun is setting on the oil sector as we know it. Yesterday oil hit our $27 target after what the press has described as an oil war between Russia and Saudi Arabia. I described and…

Applying my theory of Human Anti Entropy, the Wuhan Virus is an agent of entropy that kills the weak and sick on an individual level. Whilst on a larger fractal, also causes the most harm to the…

These recommendations to the Chancellor are based on my Murrination https://www.davidmurrin.co.uk/blog-entry/turbocharging-britain-post-brexit with some modifications due to the arrival…

Overview

The Wuhan virus has effectively become a pandemic and is locking down the global economy block by block and the markets are slowly realising that the game is up for the habitual…

Noah was a devout man who walked with God. Seeing that the earth was corrupt and filled with violence, God instructed Noah to build an ark in which he, his sons, and their wives,…

For some months, we have been warning that the global economy was far more fragile that the majority of people ever imagined, as it has been inflated by mountains of debt. The consequence of which…

Syria is a troubled state in the Middle East, that has been embroiled in bloody civil war for a decade. However, the consequences of that struggle have not just been regional, but have…

Above LEFT Immature white blood cells resulting from congenital leukaemia. This is a cancer-like disease of these blood cells.
Above RIGHT Cancer cells from human…

A man sprays the top of a bus with an anti-flu virus in London, in March 1920, during the epidemic that followed World War One. Public health measures such as this were…

Mosquito (Anopheles) feeding on human blood. Their mouthparts are adapted for piercing the skin of plants and animals. While both males and females typically feed on…

A smallpox vaccination kit from the nineteenth-century, containing small blades used to pierce the patient’s skin. Edward Jenner (1749–1823), a country doctor, developed…

The cinchona tree is the only known natural source of quinine. Its medicinal properties were discovered by the Quechua Indians of Peru and Bolivia, and later the Jesuits…

I have for the past decade described the chaos in the Middle East as being driven by the rapid population growth that created a regional civil war. This is essentially the process whereby through…

From the start of my career in finance as a discretionary trader 35 years ago, I have believed that the price of a market at any one time contains all aspects of the information available. Why I…

The Age of Sail

In the ancient Mediterranean world, sea battles were decided by the size of the fleets, ramming, boarding, and fire. Design innovations were incremental whilst tactical…

Many readers have asked me about how the US market can be making new highs when the Wuhan virus is raging through China and represents a clear an present danger, and yet the US stock…

Trump remains under pressure in an Election Year, which is of great concern. As an unconstrained narcissist, we should expect Trump to respond to pressure by becoming even more unpredictable. If…

Arkent readers will know that the signals generated from our analysis across the market complex have been warning of an impending major decline in global demand many months before the arrival of…

I have long maintained that films are powerful indications of the social mood and values of a society. Within that context, the comparison between two recent war films is highly…

As the Wuhan virus spreads across the world to become a pandemic, there is increasing evidence that the virus may have originated from the Bio labs in Wuhan, which are known to be…

Will financial History repeat itself?

This image from 1929 of desperate investors gathering in desperation outside the wall street exchange has always fascinated me. 91 years later the…

Today Britain will finally leave the EU continental model and return to being a sovereign state free to pursue our aspirations of once more becoming a Global maritime nation.

In Britain's …

When the majority of humans are confronted with an abnormal and extreme situation their brains fuse and they revert to a normal pattern of behaviour  in the hope that the threat will just go away…

My father was head of the airworthiness division of the CAA. Thus I  was brought up with all the main players in the aviation business as family friends and have since then had an enduring…

In a week when Britain can finally celebrate its newfound sovereignty as it departs  the EU, it has made itself beholden to another foreign power, but  one far less benign than the EU. Further to…

Having seen my concerns that I expressed on Friday in my Murrination Underestimating The Snake Virus  become  generally recognised at the weekend.  I have to admit to feeling increasing uneasy at…

Economic and market environments shape the businesses and individuals that operate within them, just as it does for  nations and empires as they cycle through The Five phase life cycle.

A…

As an ex Hedge Fund Manager who predicted and profited from financial dislocations such as the Asian Crisis, the Argentine debt crisis, the stock market declines of 2000-2003 and 2007-2009. I…

The growing fears over the Virus that has originated in China, are I suspect greatly underestimated.

The evidence that the virus came from a snake that was bought in a Wuhan exotic food…

In a year that has started with extensive Australian bush fires, which clearly demonstrates yet another aspect of the increasingly damaging effects of climate change. It seems serendipitous that…

During the Cold War, America needed to learn more about Soviet submarine launched ICBMs and their nuclear first strike capability. When in the early 1970's the U.S. government learned of the…

The Arkent Scenario describes the expected sequence of the behaviour of the global market complex of the Dollar, Yen, Sterling, Bonds, commodity credit and stock markets into the next big…

Since the Spanish Armada, the Royal Navy has been Britain’s first line of defence and offence. Today is no different, and yet the RN  has been run down by two decades of defence cuts to within an…

One of Boris's first instructions as Britain's newly elected PM was to instigate a defence and foreign policy review in the first 100 days of his office. Such a review is desperately…

The 82 million Iranians are not Arabs, but rather derive from the Iranic peoples of a diverse Indo-European origin. They count their lineage back to the proud Persian Empire. Unlike the majority…

Thank you for my many readers who have contacted me today following Dominic Cummings request for weird and eclectic people to apply to help revolutionize the Boris Government apparatus.

…

Since writing Breaking The Code Of History and formulating the Theory of Human Collective Systems we have continued to seek enhanced…

The power of The Five Phase Life Cycle to predict political and  geopolitical events, has been proven repeatedly over the past 20 years. Some of the most recent examples have been Britain's Brexit…

From a Murrinations perspective our coverage and correct analysis in complex detail of the Brexit Civil wars outcomes using the Five Phase Growth Cycle, has once more shown the power of…

The 12th of 12th 2019: Brexit Election Day, finally ended the Brexit Civil war and will go down in British history along with the Parliamentarian victory at the Battle of Worcester on…

The Day Of Reckoning

In a few day's time, the British Nation will vote in the Brexit Election. The culmination of what has effectively been a peaceful Civil War that had its genesis in…

As a regular reader of Murrinations you will be aware of my concern at the rise of Chinese power over the past decade. This includes a strengthening alliance with Russia combined with a strategy…

As we move into that last two weeks before the election the polls are indicating that all of my predictions for the Brexit Election with respect to the results are coming to pass .i.e That the…

One of the hallmarks of an empire is the widespread use of its currency, not only within its borders but on its periphery. This allows an Empire to control and regulate not just their…

My work is based around collective human behaviour, how to predict it, understand it and enhance the ways we interact with each other. 

My fascination for military history, which started…

When New Orleans was inundated after being besieged by Hurricane Katrina in 2005 - the official reason given was that the flood levies had not been maintained appropriately.

Today in 2019…

Listening to the Remain parties rattle off their prophecies of doom if we leave the EU, and its multitude of negative effects on the economy and business, is in opposition to the apparitional…

The above picture is but one of a sequence of photos sent from my man in HK. Rioting is centred in Kowloon and the centre of HK. In those areas the police have lost control and discipline, so it…

Today is the 11th of the 11th. The day where Britain remembers its war dead from WW1 onwards. However, the question has to be asked, are we honouring our lost generations…

Nigel Farage’s (NF) Brexit Party (positioned to the right championing a No-deal Brexit)

NF has played his role as an archetypal  protesting hero, that has been instrumental in catalysing…

So the 57th Parliament of England has been dissolved and last week it's self-serving egocentric speaker retired and subsequently was replaced by  a more respectful and impartial Speaker of the…

Further to our Murrination Russia: The need for Rapprochement with the West which highlighted the critical and vulnerable economic phase Russia is now entering and the importance with which any…

Firstly, congratulations to The Boks for winning the Rugby World Cup. An outcome that I never saw coming a week ago, after the semi-final win over New Zealand. My three-year-…

The turn of the century marked a sea change in the vibrancy of western economies. From that point onwards underlying unleveraged growth and GDPs behaved as if they were swimming through treacle. I…

Every empire has had a game that personifies its values and represents its national culture. Rugby was the game of the British empire, from which it has since spread to many nations…

The adage that empires pull themselves apart from the inside before they succumb to external rising powers, is born out repeatedly across history. Today it is the American Empire  that is well…

Dig Deep – The Mining Podcast 

David discusses his work around decoding major historical cycles and events to forecast global change in today’s world, focusing on the K cycle and the…

So after Super Saturday, Parliament has once again demonstrated its desire to frustrate Brexit, against the will of the British people. A position personified by the architect of the destructive…

The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia is one of the most extreme hierarchical national structures in the world . With a royal family of some 5000, benefiting at the giddy heights of the pyramid, whilst…

With the expectation that the impending worldwide recession will act as the final stage in the decline of the commodity process since 2011 we are taking a look at the potential geopolitical…

As Brexit goes through the final chapter in its democratic civil war before leaving the EU, Boris and his Conservative party are laying out their vision of Britain post-Brexit. In many areas that…

The Drivers of Change

There are three key stake holders that all need to engage:

1.      The public, who are currently the main catalysts for change that are driving the other two…

Political and Scientific Denial

Until recently, climate change was considered just a figment of some peoples imagination by the worlds establishments. Some have even demeaned the clear…

Climate change has not occurred at some arbitrary point, but at a specific phase in our human history - as two industrial super empires co-exist. On the one hand, the US, the last offspring of the…

The mathematics of warfare has always underpinned the outcome of battles and wars.

In 1805, Nelson's fleet was slightly smaller than the…

Over the past week, I have been flooded with people asking me if Boris has blown it!  And also watched the press ride the sensational wave without providing any real insight. Indeed the press,…

We would all like to benefit from seeing further into the future, whether it's buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product or simply planning the week's meals. Unfortunately, people…

In ATCH terms Iran is in an Expansive State

Iran was the first Middle Eastern nation to rebel against Western and specifically America influence, to then replace it with a…

Tuesday  is the start of the final battle over the Brexit civil war as Parliament returns after its summer recess. Before looking at the potential outcomes it's worth a refresh as to how this…